TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122551
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118911114118––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:52 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeOleksii Tiutiunnyk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 73 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksii Tiutiunnyk at 67.9%
73 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 14–4 Oleh Torianyk Oleh Torianyk has won 4 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:52What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-4 in 18
Tiutiunnyk
Correct
gap of 10 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1591 vs Torianyk 1632
Torianyk
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 60% vs Torianyk 80%
Torianyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 30% vs Torianyk 60%
Torianyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +2 · Torianyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tiutiunnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 1.50 / Torianyk 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122551
Tiutiunnyk1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Torianyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 45 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk7wins
AwayTorianyk3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTiutiunnyk leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayTorianyk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk7Torianyk3n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk8Torianyk2n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S3Tiutiunnyk8Torianyk2n = 10Tiutiunnyk took 8 of 10
S4Tiutiunnyk3Torianyk3n = 6split evenly
S5Tiutiunnyk1Torianyk3n = 4Torianyk took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykTorianykTiutiunnyk − TorianykBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.833.1+4.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 106 vs 285 / 51348.1%55.6%51 / 106 vs 285 / 513Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykTiutiunnyk 1.50/Torianyk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk3711119422O. Torianyk49791111113
LJul 5 · 08:30O. Tiutiunnyk42311111072O. Torianyk48118612113
LJul 4 · 14:00O. Tiutiunnyk3644111162O. Torianyk48111178113
WApr 12 · 10:35O. Tiutiunnyk3911611113O. Torianyk31611771
WApr 12 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk341211113O. Torianyk2110740
WApr 11 · 17:29O. Tiutiunnyk351113113O. Torianyk2281130
WJan 31 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk4041114113O. Torianyk371181261
WOct 25 · 09:30O. Tiutiunnyk491111106113O. Torianyk4569121172
WOct 5 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk331111113O. Torianyk166550
WOct 4 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk331111113O. Torianyk144550
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 13 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.501111113S. Bului1.508990WSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113LSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661WSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113WSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113WJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072
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