TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122595
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118119119––––
Serhii Bului
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksii Tiutiunnyk above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 59 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Bului at 64.1%
59 points played in total.
H2H Oleksii Tiutiunnyk 5–13 Serhii Bului Oleksii Tiutiunnyk has won 5 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:03What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bului
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-13 in 18
Bului
Wrong
gap of 8 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tiutiunnyk 1591 vs Bului 1756
Bului
Wrong
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tiutiunnyk 40% vs Bului 100%
Bului
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tiutiunnyk 20% vs Bului 100%
Bului
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tiutiunnyk +1 · Bului +5
Bului
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Bului)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTiutiunnyk 2.50 / Bului 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Bului)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13122595
Tiutiunnyk2.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 4 of 15
Down 0–1, comes back25% 3 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back14% 1 of 7
Bului1.50
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite85% won 45 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTiutiunnyk2wins
AwayBului8wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTiutiunnykn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayBului87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tiutiunnyk2Bului8n = 10Bului took 8 of 10
S2Tiutiunnyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S3Tiutiunnyk5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S4Tiutiunnyk1Bului5n = 6Bului took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTiutiunnykBuluiT − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.238.5−6.3per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTiutiunnykBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 106 vs 102 / 20748.1%49.3%51 / 106 vs 102 / 207Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiTiutiunnyk 2.50/Bului 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Tiutiunnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk331111113S. Bului268990
LSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk4411811682S. Bului47511911113
LJul 5 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk4371111682S. Bului46119411113
LJul 4 · 12:30O. Tiutiunnyk295113101S. Bului4211811123
LMay 17 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk2781090S. Bului341112113
LMay 16 · 17:43O. Tiutiunnyk34811871S. Bului3911611113
LMay 16 · 15:00O. Tiutiunnyk167630S. Bului331111113
WMar 29 · 10:00O. Tiutiunnyk4571112153S. Bului4211810131
LMar 29 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk28451181S. Bului4111118113
LMar 28 · 13:30O. Tiutiunnyk2311660S. Bului351311113
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113LSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682LJul 5 · 05:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.835390P. Kolesnik1.831111113LJul 4 · 16:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.6711491162D. Tsys2.10411119113LJul 4 · 15:00P. Kolesnik1.9118911113O. Tiutiunnyk1.801611541
S. Bului10
WSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661WSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113WSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682
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