TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122673
Played Sep 13Finished
Serhii Bului
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181214116116––
Oleh Torianyk
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:06 and never touched — 66.5% is still 66.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Bului to win
66.5%
66.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Bului above · Oleh Torianyk below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 11-6
Point 79 set 4, 11-6 — our read held Serhii Bului at 66.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Bului 8–4 Oleh Torianyk Oleh Torianyk has won 4 of their 12 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 16h before this match
Bului beat Torianyk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:06What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Bului
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-4 in 12
Bului
Correct
gap of 4 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Bului 1771 vs Torianyk 1627
Bului
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Bului 100% vs Torianyk 60%
Bului
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bului 90% vs Torianyk 60%
Bului
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bului +5 · Torianyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Bului)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBului 1.50 / Torianyk 2.50
Signal prob.67% / 34%
Edge (Bului)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122673
Bului1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite85% won 45 of 53
Up 2–0, closes it100% 31 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it88% 38 of 43
Torianyk2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 45 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back31% 19 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back15% 5 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBului7wins
AwayTorianyk3wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBului77.8%7 of 9
AwayTorianykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Bului9Torianyk1n = 10Bului took 9 of 10
S2Bului5Torianyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Bului6Torianyk4n = 10Bului took 6 of 10
S4Bului3Torianyk2n = 5Bului took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuluiTorianykB − TBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.032.1+5.9per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuluiTorianykBasisWin rate · lifetime101 / 205 vs 284 / 51149.3%55.6%101 / 205 vs 284 / 511Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiBului 1.50/Torianyk 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 12 · 13:30S. Bului341212103O. Torianyk24101040
WAug 22 · 07:30S. Bului48115813113O. Torianyk48611111192
LAug 15 · 06:00S. Bului36118981O. Torianyk4181111113
LJul 31 · 14:00S. Bului4611911782O. Torianyk45611611113
WJul 5 · 09:30S. Bului341211113O. Torianyk2210570
WJul 4 · 17:33S. Bului331111113O. Torianyk237880
WJul 4 · 15:30S. Bului4313118113O. Torianyk371191161
WApr 5 · 05:30S. Bului331111113O. Torianyk157530
WApr 4 · 16:00S. Bului46111311113O. Torianyk32515841
LJan 31 · 17:00S. Bului2781090O. Torianyk341112113
S. Bului10
LSep 13 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.501111113S. Bului1.508990WSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113WSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113
O. Torianyk10
WSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113WSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113LSep 5 · 07:30M. Pohorilyi2.7511118113O. Torianyk1.40941141WSep 5 · 06:00N. Priadko3.2510890O. Torianyk1.331211113LAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.