TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13121171
Played Sep 12Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13111214911711––
Serhii Bului
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 8
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Serhii Bului below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 88 set 4, 7-11
88 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 4–15 Serhii Bului Myhailo Levytskii has won 4 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Bului beat Levytskii 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Bului)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bului form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 2.10 / Bului 1.67
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Bului)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13121171
Levytskii2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog36% won 9 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Bului1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite83% won 40 of 48
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it88% 35 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii1wins
AwayBului9wins
4 of 10 to a deciderBului leads 9–1, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii0%0 of 3
AwayBului85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii3Bului7n = 10Bului took 7 of 10
S2Levytskii5Bului5n = 10split evenly
S3Levytskii2Bului8n = 10Bului took 8 of 10
S4Levytskii3Bului4n = 7Bului took 4 of 7
S5Levytskii0Bului4n = 4Bului took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiBuluiL − BBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match33.340.8−7.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiBuluiBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 298 vs 100 / 20554.7%48.8%163 / 298 vs 100 / 205Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.135.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuluiLevytskii 2.10/Bului 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.2%
Bului · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bului won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 14:30M. Levytskii2681170S. Bului351113113
LAug 22 · 10:39M. Levytskii41101131162S. Bului48127117113
LAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii3611113832S. Bului49791111113
LMay 17 · 08:30M. Levytskii4111961142S. Bului49711119113
WMar 29 · 09:00M. Levytskii4491111133S. Bului351176111
LMar 29 · 06:30M. Levytskii198650S. Bului331111113
LMar 28 · 15:30M. Levytskii3911116652S. Bului47861111113
LMar 15 · 06:30M. Levytskii325111151S. Bului3911134113
LMar 14 · 17:00M. Levytskii2671180S. Bului341113103
LMar 7 · 07:30M. Levytskii29311871S. Bului3911611113
M. Levytskii10
WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170LSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472WSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780WSep 2 · 14:00D. Kryshtal1.5312119882M. Levytskii2.381071111113LSep 2 · 12:30S. Kushnirenko1.251110313113M. Levytskii3.75712111142WAug 26 · 17:16P. Kolesnik2.509770M. Levytskii1.501111113WAug 26 · 15:30M. Pohorilyi4.3311101551M. Levytskii1.2091217113
S. Bului10
WSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170WSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103WSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112WAug 22 · 10:39S. Bului1.57127117113M. Levytskii2.25101131162WAug 22 · 09:00D. Tsys3.003540S. Bului1.361111113WAug 22 · 07:30O. Torianyk2.00611111192S. Bului1.73115813113WAug 22 · 06:00M. Levytskii2.3811113832S. Bului1.53791111113LAug 22 · 05:00P. Kolesnik3.401111123S. Bului1.3097100LAug 21 · 16:00S. Bului4.3363111272R. Horokh1.201111910113
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