TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122588
Played Sep 13Finished
Oleh Torianyk
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
117711811811––
Petr Kolesnik
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:03 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeOleh Torianyk to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Torianyk above · Petr Kolesnik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Oleh Torianyk at 70.3%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Torianyk 54–41 Petr Kolesnik Petr Kolesnik has won 41 of their 95 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:03What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Torianyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
54-41 in 95
Torianyk
Wrong
gap of 13 in 95, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Torianyk 1602 vs Kolesnik 1508
Torianyk
Wrong
both rated, 94 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Torianyk 60% vs Kolesnik 40%
Torianyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Torianyk 60% vs Kolesnik 30%
Torianyk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Torianyk -1 · Kolesnik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Torianyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Torianyk form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTorianyk 1.40 / Kolesnik 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Torianyk)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13122588
Torianyk1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 103 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it97% 61 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it84% 78 of 93
Kolesnik2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog30% won 18 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back12% 5 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTorianyk8wins
AwayKolesnik2wins
Torianyk leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTorianyk87.5%7 of 8
AwayKolesnikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Torianyk8Kolesnik2n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S2Torianyk8Kolesnik2n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S3Torianyk8Kolesnik2n = 10Torianyk took 8 of 10
S4Torianyk2Kolesnik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTorianykKolesnikT − KBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.225.3+9.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTorianykKolesnikBasisWin rate · lifetime285 / 515 vs 188 / 33455.3%56.3%285 / 515 vs 188 / 334Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TorianykTorianyk 1.40/Kolesnik 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Torianyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolesnik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 13 · 09:00O. Torianyk34117881P. Kolesnik4071111113
WSep 12 · 17:40O. Torianyk45121111113P. Kolesnik381091361
WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk3741111113P. Kolesnik29116661
WAug 28 · 05:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik178630
WAug 27 · 05:00O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik219570
LAug 26 · 16:00O. Torianyk381071291P. Kolesnik44121110113
WAug 22 · 06:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik183960
WAug 21 · 10:29O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik134360
WAug 21 · 09:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik163850
WAug 20 · 15:30O. Torianyk331111113P. Kolesnik179440
O. Torianyk10
LSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 05:30S. Bului1.50111211113O. Torianyk2.50814661WSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113WSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113WSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 13:30O. Torianyk2.20101040S. Bului1.611212103LSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113WSep 5 · 09:58O. Torianyk1.501111113S. Sideltsev2.508980WSep 5 · 09:00S. Sideltsev2.2010940O. Torianyk1.611211113
P. Kolesnik10
WSep 13 · 07:30S. Bului1.4041111882P. Kolesnik2.75117711113WSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 17:40P. Kolesnik3.251091361O. Torianyk1.33121111113LSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 15:00O. Torianyk1.4041111113P. Kolesnik2.75116661LSep 12 · 12:30S. Bului1.4411118793P. Kolesnik2.6339111112LSep 2 · 10:52P. Kolesnik3.2512930S. Sideltsev1.331411113LSep 2 · 09:30S. Sideltsev2.00912811123P. Kolesnik1.731110114102WSep 2 · 08:00P. Kolesnik1.251111113Y. Zvolynskyi3.756840
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