TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155077
Played Sep 19Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
1.22
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
10121161181917––
Ihor Dubinin
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:14 and never touched — 82.9% is still 82.9%
Graded at full timeMyhailo Levytskii to win
82.9%
82.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 19-17
Point 94 set 4, 19-17 — our read held Myhailo Levytskii at 82.9%
94 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 12–1 Ihor Dubinin Ihor Dubinin has won 1 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:14What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Levytskii
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-1 in 13
Levytskii
Correct
gap of 11 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1640 vs Dubinin 1364
Levytskii
Correct
both rated, 276 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 20% vs Dubinin 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 20% vs Dubinin 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii -4 · Dubinin -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Levytskii)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (20%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 1.22 / Dubinin 4.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Levytskii)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13155077
Levytskii1.22
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 14)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 56 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it79% 42 of 53
Dubinin4.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii9wins
AwayDubinin1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevytskii leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii100%6 of 6
AwayDubinin25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii6Dubinin4n = 10Levytskii took 6 of 10
S2Levytskii8Dubinin2n = 10Levytskii took 8 of 10
S3Levytskii7Dubinin3n = 10Levytskii took 7 of 10
S4Levytskii7Dubinin1n = 8Levytskii took 7 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiDubininL − DBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.230.6+11.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 306 vs 225 / 44953.3%50.1%163 / 306 vs 225 / 449Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LevytskiiLevytskii 1.22/Dubinin 4.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82.9%
Levytskii · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Levytskii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 13 · 16:00M. Levytskii331111113I. Dubinin169610
WJul 13 · 13:30M. Levytskii49141113113I. Dubinin401691141
WJun 20 · 13:30M. Levytskii4312911113I. Dubinin311011731
LJun 9 · 13:30M. Levytskii4691111782I. Dubinin44114711113
WMay 12 · 13:30M. Levytskii4311129113I. Dubinin345101181
WMay 6 · 13:30M. Levytskii47771111113I. Dubinin3711114382
WApr 25 · 12:00M. Levytskii49161111113I. Dubinin31181661
WApr 16 · 14:30M. Levytskii4011117113I. Dubinin30991111
WMar 18 · 13:30M. Levytskii3911116113I. Dubinin24271141
WMar 17 · 16:00M. Levytskii331111113I. Dubinin198380
M. Levytskii10
WSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773LSep 14 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko1.25139711113M. Levytskii3.75111111392LSep 14 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.25781231S. Kiilo1.57111110113LSep 14 · 13:30R. Horokh1.11671116113M. Levytskii6.00111131492LSep 14 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.5010613101S. Balabei1.17121111123WSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862LSep 13 · 08:30M. Levytskii2.634131171S. Bului1.44111113113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113
I. Dubinin10
LSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 17 · 17:13R. Hryhoriev1.73111111113I. Dubinin2.00881331LSep 17 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40117411123I. Dubinin2.75411118102LSep 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.7351151192R. Hryhoriev2.00118116113WSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113LSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492WSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133LSep 10 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.33311661Y. Zvolynskyi3.2511911113LSep 10 · 13:30I. Dubinin1.801441361R. Hryhoriev1.91121115113
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