TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13122153
Played Sep 13Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811811118116
Oleksii Tiutiunnyk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Tiutiunnyk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Oleksii Tiutiunnyk below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 92 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Oleksii Tiutiunnyk at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 8–15 Oleksii Tiutiunnyk Myhailo Levytskii has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:59What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-15 in 23
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1641 vs Tiutiunnyk 1604
Levytskii
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 20% vs Tiutiunnyk 60%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 20% vs Tiutiunnyk 40%
Tiutiunnyk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii -4 · Tiutiunnyk +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Tiutiunnyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Levytskii form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 1.91 / Tiutiunnyk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Tiutiunnyk)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #13122153
Levytskii1.91
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog32% won 8 of 25
Down 0–1, comes back21% 3 of 14
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Tiutiunnyk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite54% won 13 of 24
Up 2–0, closes it80% 8 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it73% 11 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii5wins
AwayTiutiunnyk5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii42.9%3 of 7
AwayTiutiunnyk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii7Tiutiunnyk3n = 10Levytskii took 7 of 10
S2Levytskii6Tiutiunnyk4n = 10Levytskii took 6 of 10
S3Levytskii5Tiutiunnyk5n = 10split evenly
S4Levytskii2Tiutiunnyk7n = 9Tiutiunnyk took 7 of 9
S5Levytskii2Tiutiunnyk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiTiutiunnykL − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.538.9−0.4per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiTiutiunnykBasisWin rate · lifetime162 / 301 vs 52 / 10753.8%48.6%162 / 301 vs 52 / 107Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TiutiunnykLevytskii 1.91/Tiutiunnyk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Tiutiunnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Levytskii won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 12 · 13:00M. Levytskii4011513472O. Tiutiunnyk528111111113
LMay 17 · 06:00M. Levytskii35781191O. Tiutiunnyk3911116113
WMar 29 · 08:00M. Levytskii3811115113O. Tiutiunnyk37981191
WMar 29 · 07:00M. Levytskii331111113O. Tiutiunnyk189450
WMar 28 · 17:00M. Levytskii48111178113O. Tiutiunnyk4398111142
WJan 25 · 09:00M. Levytskii46911114113O. Tiutiunnyk4511691182
LJan 24 · 16:30M. Levytskii4411127862O. Tiutiunnyk486101111103
WJan 18 · 10:30M. Levytskii4291111113O. Tiutiunnyk28115481
LDec 28 · 07:00M. Levytskii30114871O. Tiutiunnyk4291111113
LDec 27 · 14:30M. Levytskii29119631O. Tiutiunnyk3741111113
M. Levytskii10
LSep 13 · 08:30M. Levytskii2.634131171S. Bului1.44111113113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170LSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472WSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113LSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780
O. Tiutiunnyk10
WSep 13 · 10:39P. Kolesnik1.831181051O. Tiutiunnyk1.8371112113WSep 13 · 08:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.5011911113O. Torianyk2.50811481WSep 13 · 06:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.501111113S. Bului1.508990WSep 13 · 05:00O. Tiutiunnyk2.201111133P. Kolesnik1.6189110LSep 12 · 16:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.3611119422O. Torianyk3.00791111113LSep 12 · 15:30O. Tiutiunnyk2.6311811682S. Bului1.44511911113WSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472LJul 5 · 08:30O. Torianyk3.50118612113O. Tiutiunnyk1.28311111072LJul 5 · 07:30O. Tiutiunnyk1.73111491092D. Tsys2.009121112113LJul 5 · 06:30S. Bului1.40119411113O. Tiutiunnyk2.7571111682
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