TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126642
Played Sep 14Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
4.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
101261113111012––
Serhii Balabei
Away
1.17
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:37 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeSerhii Balabei to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Serhii Balabei below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 85 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Balabei at 85.6%
85 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 2–24 Serhii Balabei Myhailo Levytskii has won 2 of their 26 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:37What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Balabei
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-24 in 26
Balabei
Correct
gap of 22 in 26, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1639 vs Balabei 1962
Balabei
Correct
both rated, 323 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 20% vs Balabei 60%
Balabei
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 30% vs Balabei 50%
Balabei
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii +1 · Balabei +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Balabei)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Balabei form (60%) is below what odds imply (86%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 4.50 / Balabei 1.17
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Balabei)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126642
Levytskii4.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Balabei1.17
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite71% won 197 of 276
Up 2–0, closes it97% 94 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it87% 139 of 159
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii2wins
AwayBalabei8wins
Balabei leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii66.7%2 of 3
AwayBalabei100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii3Balabei7n = 10Balabei took 7 of 10
S2Levytskii4Balabei6n = 10Balabei took 6 of 10
S3Levytskii2Balabei8n = 10Balabei took 8 of 10
S4Levytskii2Balabei5n = 7Balabei took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiBalabeiL − BBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match27.837.3−9.5per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiBalabeiBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 302 vs 505 / 100154%50.5%163 / 302 vs 505 / 1001Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BalabeiLevytskii 4.50/Balabei 1.17
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Balabei · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Balabei won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJan 27 · 16:00M. Levytskii26411651S. Balabei4111811113
LJan 24 · 14:30M. Levytskii27481141S. Balabei4211119113
WNov 24 · 14:30M. Levytskii4111811113S. Balabei29611931
LNov 11 · 15:30M. Levytskii114610S. Balabei331111113
LOct 21 · 14:30M. Levytskii24211381S. Balabei4011811103
LOct 10 · 13:30M. Levytskii2681080S. Balabei341112113
LSep 15 · 15:00M. Levytskii311271021S. Balabei44101112113
LAug 22 · 13:30M. Levytskii259790S. Balabei331111113
LAug 7 · 14:30M. Levytskii323111171S. Balabei4411913113
WJul 31 · 12:30M. Levytskii3511112113S. Balabei33851191
M. Levytskii10
WSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862LSep 13 · 08:30M. Levytskii2.634131171S. Bului1.44111113113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170LSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472WSep 12 · 12:00O. Torianyk2.63711121162M. Levytskii1.44117149113LSep 2 · 16:00M. Levytskii6.5079111152R. Horokh1.10111157113
S. Balabei10
WSep 11 · 17:02S. Balabei1.361112411163V. Komar3.00314119142LSep 11 · 16:00V. Komar2.00118116123S. Balabei1.73811211102WSep 11 · 14:30D. Kryshtal2.20491151S. Balabei1.6111114113WSep 11 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3.40611731S. Balabei1.3011711113LSep 11 · 12:00R. Horokh1.801111113S. Balabei1.919750WAug 31 · 17:43S. Balabei1.501111153D. Kryshtal2.5096130LAug 31 · 16:30D. Kryshtal2.501110127133S. Balabei1.508121011112WAug 31 · 15:00S. Balabei1.441211113D. Yurkov2.6310670LAug 31 · 13:30S. Balabei1.3051191192S. Kushnirenko3.40116117113LAug 31 · 12:00S. Balabei2.00513111292R. Horokh1.731115610113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.