TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126574
Played Sep 14Finished
Myhailo Levytskii
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7118111210311––
Serhii Kiilo
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:17 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeSerhii Kiilo to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMyhailo Levytskii above · Serhii Kiilo below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 73 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Serhii Kiilo at 62.5%
73 points played in total.
H2H Myhailo Levytskii 15–20 Serhii Kiilo Myhailo Levytskii has won 15 of their 35 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:17What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Kiilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-20 in 35
Kiilo
Correct
gap of 5 in 35, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levytskii 1633 vs Kiilo 1717
Kiilo
Correct
both rated, 85 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levytskii 20% vs Kiilo 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levytskii 20% vs Kiilo 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levytskii -2 · Kiilo -4
Kiilo
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Kiilo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kiilo form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevytskii 2.25 / Kiilo 1.57
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Kiilo)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13126574
Levytskii2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Kiilo1.57
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite80% won 8 of 10
Up 2–0, closes it100% 5 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it100% 6 of 6
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLevytskii4wins
AwayKiilo6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKiilo leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevytskii75%3 of 4
AwayKiilo83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levytskii4Kiilo6n = 10Kiilo took 6 of 10
S2Levytskii4Kiilo6n = 10Kiilo took 6 of 10
S3Levytskii1Kiilo9n = 10Kiilo took 9 of 10
S4Levytskii4Kiilo2n = 6Levytskii took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricLevytskiiKiiloL − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.938.0−6.1per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevytskiiKiiloBasisWin rate · lifetime163 / 304 vs 98 / 36753.6%26.7%163 / 304 vs 98 / 367Avg sets wonper match2.11.4per matchAvg pointsper match38.334.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KiiloLevytskii 2.25/Kiilo 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Kiilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kiilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 2 · 15:00M. Levytskii238780S. Kiilo331111113
LApr 26 · 08:30M. Levytskii167360S. Kiilo331111113
LMar 28 · 13:00M. Levytskii2034130S. Kiilo371111153
WMar 14 · 16:00M. Levytskii451691193S. Kiilo411411881
LFeb 22 · 06:30M. Levytskii187470S. Kiilo331111113
LFeb 21 · 13:00M. Levytskii33913651S. Kiilo4211111193
WJan 25 · 06:30M. Levytskii4211119113S. Kiilo34881171
WDec 28 · 09:30M. Levytskii547121311113S. Kiilo49111015492
WDec 27 · 16:30M. Levytskii4011125123S. Kiilo3871011101
LNov 24 · 18:00M. Levytskii28114491S. Kiilo4071111113
M. Levytskii10
LSep 14 · 13:30R. Horokh1.11671116113M. Levytskii6.00111131492LSep 14 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.5010613101S. Balabei1.17121111123WSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862LSep 13 · 08:30M. Levytskii2.634131171S. Bului1.44111113113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170LSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472
S. Kiilo10
LSep 14 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko1.3612119113S. Kiilo3.001071141LSep 14 · 12:00R. Horokh1.1411811113S. Kiilo5.00611651LSep 8 · 17:14D. Kryshtal—11811113S. Kiilo—411571LSep 8 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko1.361111113S. Kiilo3.003690WSep 8 · 15:00S. Kiilo3.25611118123V. Komar1.33116911102LSep 8 · 13:30S. Kiilo3.75117311D. Kryshtal1.2571111113LSep 8 · 12:00S. Kiilo5.0011961162R. Horokh1.14911118113LSep 2 · 17:05S. Kushnirenko1.368111511113S. Kiilo3.00119131382LSep 2 · 16:30D. Kryshtal1.2512912113S. Kiilo3.7510111021WSep 2 · 15:00S. Kiilo1.611111113M. Levytskii2.208780
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