TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13126895
Played Sep 14Finished
Roman Horokh
Home
1.11
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6117111131614119
Myhailo Levytskii
Away
6.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:58 and never touched — 88.6% is still 88.6%
Graded at full timeRoman Horokh to win
88.6%
88.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRoman Horokh above · Myhailo Levytskii below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 16-14
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 99 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Roman Horokh at 88.6%
99 points played in total.
H2H Roman Horokh 28–1 Myhailo Levytskii Myhailo Levytskii has won 1 of their 29 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:58What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Horokh
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-1 in 29
Horokh
Correct
gap of 27 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Horokh 1947 vs Levytskii 1636
Horokh
Correct
both rated, 311 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Horokh 80% vs Levytskii 20%
Horokh
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Horokh 50% vs Levytskii 30%
Horokh
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Horokh +2 · Levytskii -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 89% — Strong (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (80%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHorokh 1.11 / Levytskii 6.00
Signal prob.89% / 11%
Edge (Horokh)+4.2pp
Setka Cup · #13126895
Horokh1.11
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 293 of 446
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it82% 224 of 275
Levytskii6.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 9 of 27
Down 0–1, comes back20% 3 of 15
Down 0–2, comes back18% 2 of 11
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHorokh9wins
AwayLevytskii1wins
1 of 10 to a deciderHorokh leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHorokh100%7 of 7
AwayLevytskii33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Horokh7Levytskii3n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S2Horokh9Levytskii1n = 10Horokh took 9 of 10
S3Horokh9Levytskii1n = 10Horokh took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHorokhLevytskiiH − LBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.226.8+10.4per matchSweeps71+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHorokhLevytskiiBasisWin rate · lifetime695 / 1235 vs 163 / 30356.3%53.8%695 / 1235 vs 163 / 303Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.338.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhHorokh 1.11/Levytskii 6.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
88.6%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJan 27 · 15:00R. Horokh331111113M. Levytskii166460
WAug 7 · 15:30R. Horokh381313123M. Levytskii321111100
WJul 31 · 14:30R. Horokh612211116113M. Levytskii5324681142
WJul 29 · 15:30R. Horokh391511133M. Levytskii32138110
WJul 23 · 16:30R. Horokh341211113M. Levytskii1710430
LJul 22 · 15:30R. Horokh215790M. Levytskii331111113
WJul 1 · 17:30R. Horokh331111113M. Levytskii154650
WJul 1 · 12:30R. Horokh361114113M. Levytskii1931240
WJun 18 · 15:30R. Horokh331111113M. Levytskii225980
WJun 11 · 15:00R. Horokh44101111123M. Levytskii291243101
R. Horokh10
WSep 14 · 12:00R. Horokh1.1411811113S. Kiilo5.00611651WSep 12 · 10:00S. Kushnirenko2.2061111752R. Horokh1.61119911113LSep 12 · 08:30S. Ponomarenko1.1711911113R. Horokh4.50811861WSep 12 · 07:30R. Horokh1.40101111113V. Komar2.75127831WSep 12 · 06:30D. Kryshtal2.63117861R. Horokh1.4451111113LSep 12 · 05:30R. Horokh1.506111081S. Kushnirenko2.5011712113LSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50141011113R. Horokh1.501212781LSep 11 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5312116101V. Komar2.3814911123LSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113WSep 11 · 12:00R. Horokh1.801111113S. Balabei1.919750
M. Levytskii10
LSep 14 · 14:30M. Levytskii2.25781231S. Kiilo1.57111110113LSep 14 · 12:30M. Levytskii4.5010613101S. Balabei1.17121111123WSep 13 · 09:30M. Levytskii1.91118811113O. Tiutiunnyk1.8071111862LSep 13 · 08:30M. Levytskii2.634131171S. Bului1.44111113113LSep 13 · 07:00M. Levytskii1.44115411102O. Torianyk2.63911117123LSep 13 · 06:00M. Levytskii1.50116641P. Kolesnik2.5061111113LSep 12 · 17:10M. Levytskii2.101312971S. Bului1.67111411113WSep 12 · 16:00P. Kolesnik2.7591111151M. Levytskii1.4011613173LSep 12 · 14:30S. Bului1.571113113M. Levytskii2.2581170LSep 12 · 13:00O. Tiutiunnyk1.738111111113M. Levytskii2.0011513472
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