TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13119545
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
611119119711511
Roman Horokh
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Roman Horokh below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 91 set 5, 5-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 28–98 Roman Horokh Serhii Kushnirenko has won 28 of their 126 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Horokh)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Horokh form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.20 / Horokh 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Horokh)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13119545
Kushnirenko2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 129 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 129
Horokh1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite65% won 293 of 451
Up 2–0, closes it96% 159 of 165
Up 1–0, closes it81% 226 of 279
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko5wins
AwayHorokh5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko100%4 of 4
AwayHorokh83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko4Horokh6n = 10Horokh took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko5Horokh5n = 10split evenly
S3Kushnirenko3Horokh7n = 10Horokh took 7 of 10
S4Kushnirenko4Horokh2n = 6Kushnirenko took 4 of 6
S5Kushnirenko2Horokh1n = 3Kushnirenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhK − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.736.3−0.6per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoHorokhBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 777 vs 699 / 124741.4%56.1%322 / 777 vs 699 / 1247Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.737.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HorokhKushnirenko 2.20/Horokh 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Horokh · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Horokh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko—11115113R. Horokh—771161
WSep 2 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—1011811113R. Horokh—12511572
WAug 31 · 17:14S. Kushnirenko—11127113R. Horokh—2101191
LAug 31 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—9111091R. Horokh—11912113
LAug 26 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—61370R. Horokh—1115113
LAug 25 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko—311111182R. Horokh—111385113
WAug 23 · 08:30S. Kushnirenko—113113143R. Horokh—711511122
LAug 20 · 10:09S. Kushnirenko—8960R. Horokh—1111113
LAug 20 · 05:30S. Kushnirenko—4880R. Horokh—1111113
WAug 19 · 14:30S. Kushnirenko—1111113R. Horokh—5780
S. Kushnirenko10
WSep 12 · 09:00S. Kushnirenko2.101111113V. Komar1.679580LSep 12 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113S. Kushnirenko2.108670LSep 12 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko1.0311114113S. Kushnirenko10.00631141WSep 12 · 05:30R. Horokh1.506111081S. Kushnirenko2.5011712113LSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182WSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50141011113R. Horokh1.501212781WSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113LSep 11 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3.40611731S. Balabei1.3011711113WSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381
R. Horokh10
LSep 12 · 08:30S. Ponomarenko1.1711911113R. Horokh4.50811861WSep 12 · 07:30R. Horokh1.40101111113V. Komar2.75127831WSep 12 · 06:30D. Kryshtal2.63117861R. Horokh1.4451111113LSep 12 · 05:30R. Horokh1.506111081S. Kushnirenko2.5011712113LSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50141011113R. Horokh1.501212781LSep 11 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5312116101V. Komar2.3814911123LSep 11 · 13:30R. Horokh1.5011771182D. Kryshtal2.50511112113WSep 11 · 12:00R. Horokh1.801111113S. Balabei1.919750LSep 9 · 17:29S. Ponomarenko1.20118711113R. Horokh4.3361111872LSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381
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