TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13116941
Played Sep 12Finished
Serhii Kushnirenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119115118––––
Vadim Komar
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:19 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeVadim Komar to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSerhii Kushnirenko above · Vadim Komar below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 55 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Vadim Komar at 56.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Kushnirenko 15–24 Vadim Komar Serhii Kushnirenko has won 15 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:19What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Komar
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-24 in 39
Komar
Wrong
gap of 9 in 39, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kushnirenko 1877 vs Komar 1827
Kushnirenko
Correct
both rated, 50 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Komar 20%
Kushnirenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kushnirenko 40% vs Komar 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kushnirenko -2 · Komar -4
Komar
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Komar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Komar form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKushnirenko 2.10 / Komar 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Komar)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13116941
Kushnirenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 129 of 388
Down 0–1, comes back18% 43 of 235
Down 0–2, comes back5% 7 of 129
Komar1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 35 of 56
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it73% 24 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKushnirenko4wins
AwayKomar6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKomar leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKushnirenko50%3 of 6
AwayKomar75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kushnirenko6Komar4n = 10Kushnirenko took 6 of 10
S2Kushnirenko2Komar8n = 10Komar took 8 of 10
S3Kushnirenko4Komar6n = 10Komar took 6 of 10
S4Kushnirenko4Komar4n = 8split evenly
S5Kushnirenko2Komar2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKushnirenkoKomarKushnirenko − KomarBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.941.7−4.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKushnirenkoKomarBasisWin rate · lifetime321 / 776 vs 242 / 62741.4%38.6%321 / 776 vs 242 / 627Avg sets wonper match1.81.7per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KomarKushnirenko 2.10/Komar 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Komar · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kushnirenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko—111011442V. Komar—712911113
LSep 9 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko—81151362V. Komar—1161111113
WSep 8 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko—811712113V. Komar—118111072
WAug 26 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko—11511113V. Komar—611591
LAug 25 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko—116481V. Komar—51111113
WAug 23 · 06:00S. Kushnirenko—116117123V. Komar—911911102
LAug 22 · 17:34S. Kushnirenko—3830V. Komar—1111113
WAug 22 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—11711123V. Komar—9111111
LAug 20 · 07:30S. Kushnirenko—76110V. Komar—1111133
LAug 19 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko—1491561V. Komar—121117113
S. Kushnirenko10
LSep 12 · 08:00D. Kryshtal1.671111113S. Kushnirenko2.108670LSep 12 · 07:00S. Ponomarenko1.0311114113S. Kushnirenko10.00631141WSep 12 · 05:30R. Horokh1.506111081S. Kushnirenko2.5011712113LSep 11 · 17:29D. Kryshtal1.611112118113S. Kushnirenko2.2051431182WSep 11 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.50141011113R. Horokh1.501212781WSep 11 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.1013815123D. Kryshtal1.67111113101LSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113LSep 11 · 13:00S. Kushnirenko3.40611731S. Balabei1.3011711113WSep 9 · 16:30S. Kushnirenko2.6311211113R. Horokh1.44911381LSep 9 · 15:30S. Kushnirenko2.109690D. Kryshtal1.671111113
V. Komar10
LSep 12 · 07:30R. Horokh1.40101111113V. Komar2.75127831LSep 12 · 06:00S. Ponomarenko1.051111113V. Komar8.504770LSep 12 · 05:00D. Kryshtal1.501111113V. Komar2.505650LSep 11 · 17:02S. Balabei1.361112411163V. Komar3.00314119142WSep 11 · 16:00V. Komar2.00118116123S. Balabei1.73811211102WSep 11 · 15:00R. Horokh1.5312116101V. Komar2.3814911123WSep 11 · 14:00S. Kushnirenko2.10111011442V. Komar1.67712911113WSep 11 · 12:30D. Kryshtal1.57119891V. Komar2.2591111113LSep 9 · 16:58V. Komar2.504740D. Kryshtal1.501111113LSep 9 · 16:00V. Komar8.505131061S. Ponomarenko1.05111112113
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