TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13154987
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Tsys
Home
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111711571169
Ihor Dubinin
Away
3.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:21 and never touched — 74.5% is still 74.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Tsys to win
74.5%
74.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Tsys above · Ihor Dubinin below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 6-9
Point 86 set 5, 6-9 — our read held Dmytro Tsys at 74.5%
86 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Tsys 5–3 Ihor Dubinin Ihor Dubinin has won 3 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:21What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Tsys
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-3 in 8
Tsys
Wrong
gap of 2 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tsys 1636 vs Dubinin 1360
Tsys
Wrong
both rated, 276 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tsys 60% vs Dubinin 20%
Tsys
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tsys 80% vs Dubinin 20%
Tsys
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tsys -1 · Dubinin -4
Dubinin
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Tsys) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tsys form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTsys 1.28 / Dubinin 3.50
Signal prob.77% / 23%
Edge (Tsys)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13154987
Tsys1.28
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 38 of 58
Up 2–0, closes it94% 17 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it79% 26 of 33
Dubinin3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 36 of 105
Down 0–1, comes back20% 12 of 61
Down 0–2, comes back6% 2 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeTsys5wins
AwayDubinin3wins
2 of 8 to a deciderTsys leads 5–3, and 2 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTsys100%5 of 5
AwayDubinin100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tsys5Dubinin3n = 8Tsys took 5 of 8
S2Tsys4Dubinin4n = 8split evenly
S3Tsys5Dubinin3n = 8Tsys took 5 of 8
S4Tsys4Dubinin2n = 6Tsys took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home225%
3–2Decider, home113%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away225%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 8 meetings
MetricTsysDubininT − DBasisWins53+2in 8 meetingsFirst set53+2of 8Avg pointsper match40.435.9+4.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTsysDubininBasisWin rate · lifetime121 / 236 vs 221 / 44351.3%49.9%121 / 236 vs 221 / 443Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TsysTsys 1.28/Dubinin 3.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
76.7%
Tsys · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Dubinin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 4 · 15:00D. Tsys341111123I. Dubinin2468100
WJul 31 · 13:30D. Tsys47116811113I. Dubinin3831111852
LJul 10 · 17:39D. Tsys34961181I. Dubinin4011117113
WJul 10 · 13:30D. Tsys341211113I. Dubinin1710430
WJul 3 · 13:30D. Tsys4211911113I. Dubinin32711591
LApr 25 · 17:44D. Tsys32591351I. Dubinin44111111113
LApr 25 · 13:30D. Tsys571011181172I. Dubinin58128207113
WJan 6 · 13:00D. Tsys4311119123I. Dubinin345811101
D. Tsys10
LSep 19 · 13:30D. Tsys1.91841151M. Levytskii1.801111773WSep 19 · 12:00D. Tsys2.00991111113O. Torianyk1.7311119762WSep 5 · 10:31M. Pohorilyi4.05105100D. Tsys1.181211123WSep 5 · 09:30N. Priadko2.759290D. Tsys1.401111113LSep 5 · 08:00D. Tsys1.444111071S. Sideltsev2.6311512113WSep 5 · 06:30D. Tsys1.221111113M. Pohorilyi4.006660WSep 5 · 05:00D. Tsys2.0071111113O. Torianyk1.73116951WSep 4 · 17:35D. Tsys1.221211113M. Pohorilyi4.0010590WSep 4 · 16:00D. Tsys1.571111113V. Simchuk2.258470WSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123
I. Dubinin10
LSep 19 · 14:00P. Kolesnik1.36111112I. Dubinin3.007510LSep 19 · 12:30M. Levytskii1.22101111193I. Dubinin4.001268171LSep 17 · 17:13R. Hryhoriev1.73111111113I. Dubinin2.00881331LSep 17 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.40117411123I. Dubinin2.75411118102LSep 17 · 15:00I. Dubinin1.7351151192R. Hryhoriev2.00118116113WSep 17 · 13:30I. Dubinin2.101111113N. Priadko1.676590LSep 17 · 12:00I. Dubinin1.736131191P. Shulhachyk2.0011159113LSep 10 · 17:10R. Hryhoriev1.85971116113I. Dubinin1.85111171492WSep 10 · 16:30M. Pohorilyi1.366811111I. Dubinin3.0011118133LSep 4 · 15:00I. Dubinin2.6368100D. Tsys1.441111123
Upcoming Matches
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I. Dubinin
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