TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13153783
Played Sep 18Finished
Tomas Liska
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012711117611––
Lukas Svoboda
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTomas Liska above · Lukas Svoboda below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 75 set 4, 6-11
75 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Liska 14–23 Lukas Svoboda Tomas Liska has won 14 of their 37 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Svoboda beat Liska 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Svoboda)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svoboda form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLiska 2.10 / Svoboda 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Svoboda)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13153783
Liska2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 81 of 209
Down 0–1, comes back19% 23 of 122
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Svoboda1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite61% won 25 of 41
Up 2–0, closes it92% 11 of 12
Up 1–0, closes it74% 17 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLiska5wins
AwaySvoboda5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLiska66.7%4 of 6
AwaySvoboda75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Liska6Svoboda4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S2Liska6Svoboda4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Liska6Svoboda4n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S4Liska3Svoboda3n = 6split evenly
S5Liska1Svoboda2n = 3Svoboda took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLiskaSvobodaL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match36.733.4+3.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiskaSvobodaBasisWin rate · lifetime401 / 869 vs 78 / 16746.1%46.7%401 / 869 vs 78 / 167Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match40.338.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvobodaLiska 2.10/Svoboda 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57%
Svoboda · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svoboda won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 18 · 09:30T. Liska4093111162L. Svoboda42111145113
LSep 17 · 11:15T. Liska4411811592L. Svoboda45611611113
WAug 5 · 07:45T. Liska341112113L. Svoboda2351080
WAug 4 · 07:45T. Liska3711114113L. Svoboda33671191
LSep 3 · 08:00T. Liska237880L. Svoboda331111113
LAug 25 · 08:00T. Liska381111791L. Svoboda4271311113
WAug 24 · 18:45T. Liska341111123L. Svoboda2138100
WAug 14 · 09:15T. Liska331111113L. Svoboda195770
WJul 23 · 15:45T. Liska47711711113L. Svoboda4311911572
T. Liska10
WSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov1.83512117112T. Liska1.831110811133WSep 18 · 11:00L. Dobias1.5085111152T. Liska2.50111197113LSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162LSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123LSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341WSep 15 · 11:45T. Liska1.731111113M. Kocvara2.004960LSep 15 · 10:15M. Vyskocil1.5771111113T. Liska2.25115861
L. Svoboda10
WSep 18 · 11:30L. Svoboda2.2013114143L. Dobias1.6111911121LSep 18 · 10:30L. Svoboda1.6141113762V. Burylov2.201141111113WSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162WSep 17 · 12:48O. Kaderabek1.6111711852L. Svoboda2.20811611113WSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592LSep 17 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.101071181O. Kaderabek1.6712116113WSep 17 · 09:15L. Svoboda1.5311121010113M. Makara2.38410121272LSep 13 · 08:54L. Svoboda2.7511850D. Gasparovic1.401311113LSep 13 · 07:45D. Gasparovic1.8013911113L. Svoboda1.911111821WSep 13 · 06:45J. Chalupa1.531131261L. Svoboda2.3891114113
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