TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13152918
Played Sep 18Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
1.41
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3118111171191210
Michal Natkaniec
Away
2.60
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:12 and never touched — 68.2% is still 68.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Krutak to win
68.2%
68.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
3118111171191210
H2H Michal Krutak 5–1 Michal Natkaniec Michal Natkaniec has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Krutak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-1 in 6
Krutak
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1456 vs Natkaniec 1290
Krutak
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 40% vs Natkaniec 20%
Krutak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 70% vs Natkaniec 30%
Krutak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak -2 · Natkaniec -3
Natkaniec
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Natkaniec form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 1.41 / Natkaniec 2.60
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Krutak)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13152918
Krutak1.41
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 105 of 158
Up 2–0, closes it98% 40 of 41
Up 1–0, closes it82% 68 of 83
Natkaniec2.60
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog31% won 36 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back14% 11 of 78
Down 0–2, comes back6% 3 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKrutak5wins
AwayNatkaniec1wins
2 of 6 to a deciderKrutak leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak100%4 of 4
AwayNatkaniecn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak4Natkaniec2n = 6Krutak took 4 of 6
S2Krutak3Natkaniec3n = 6split evenly
S3Krutak5Natkaniec1n = 6Krutak took 5 of 6
S4Krutak2Natkaniec2n = 4split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home233%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away117%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKrutakNatkaniecK − NBasisWins51+4in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.337.7+2.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakNatkaniecBasisWin rate · lifetime203 / 340 vs 132 / 39259.7%33.7%203 / 340 vs 132 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.21.5per matchAvg pointsper match39.833.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakKrutak 1.41/Natkaniec 2.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 28 · 22:25M. Krutak47115911113M. Natkaniec4891111982
LAug 28 · 20:00M. Krutak35771291M. Natkaniec43111110113
WJul 25 · 24:00M. Krutak45114118113M. Natkaniec4491171162
WJul 24 · 16:00M. Krutak4291111113M. Natkaniec35118971
WJul 3 · 23:10M. Krutak401114153M. Natkaniec34912130
WJul 3 · 17:10M. Krutak331111113M. Natkaniec229670
M. Krutak10
LSep 18 · 17:35M. Krutak2.25114141162J. Oracz1.55711169113LSep 18 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.6611911123M. Krutak2.107119101WSep 18 · 15:35M. Krutak1.9511117113O. Jedrzejowski1.76971191LSep 8 · 01:30M. Krutak1.836850J. Skorupa1.831111113WSep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.0091080M. Krutak1.731112113WSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:50M. Krutak2.501111113H. Tkaczyk1.504580WSep 7 · 21:45M. Krutak1.7311179113A. Kubiak2.009151151WSep 7 · 20:05M. Krutak1.8311811113J. Skorupa1.83511381WSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113
M. Natkaniec10
LSep 18 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.25111187113M. Natkaniec3.0568111192LSep 18 · 17:10M. Natkaniec2.85311891O. Jedrzejowski1.3611811113LSep 18 · 16:00M. Natkaniec2.004790D. Pyrek1.711111113WSep 12 · 02:20M. Natkaniec2.501111113M. Wozniczka1.479880LSep 12 · 24:45J. Oracz1.2111119113M. Natkaniec3.70831151WSep 12 · 24:00D. Pyrek1.901277111M. Natkaniec1.80101111133WSep 11 · 23:10M. Natkaniec2.751111113O. Jedrzejowski1.374470LSep 11 · 22:00M. Natkaniec3.40911651C. Pawlik1.2411711113LSep 11 · 20:20M. Natkaniec2.4511610101M. Wozniczka1.4471112123LSep 11 · 18:45J. Oracz1.211111113M. Natkaniec3.707650
Upcoming Matches
M. Krutak
M. Natkaniec
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.