TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150134
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.05
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116116116––––
Marian Lebek
Away
1.66
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Kurek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
116116116––––
H2H Pawel Kurek 4–7 Marian Lebek Pawel Kurek has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:09What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.66 (55%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-7 in 11
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1395 vs Lebek 1436
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 40% vs Lebek 60%
Lebek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 40% vs Lebek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek -3 · Lebek -1
Kurek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.05 / Lebek 1.66
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Lebek)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13150134
Kurek2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 122 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Lebek1.66
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 242 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it97% 164 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it83% 214 of 259
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurek4wins
AwayLebek6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurek100%3 of 3
AwayLebek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek3Lebek7n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Kurek5Lebek5n = 10split evenly
S3Kurek4Lebek6n = 10Lebek took 6 of 10
S4Kurek4Lebek3n = 7Kurek took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurekLebekK − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.136.3−2.2per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekLebekBasisWin rate · lifetime419 / 831 vs 851 / 145850.4%58.4%419 / 831 vs 851 / 1458Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekKurek 2.05/Lebek 1.66
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.9%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 03:35P. Kurek33613861M. Lebek44111111113
WAug 27 · 03:10P. Kurek4111811113M. Lebek25511361
LAug 26 · 22:50P. Kurek301010100M. Lebek361212123
LAug 19 · 07:35P. Kurek187740M. Lebek331111113
WAug 19 · 02:45P. Kurek4111811113M. Lebek33811951
WJul 9 · 23:10P. Kurek3961111113M. Lebek32119571
LJun 26 · 07:10P. Kurek165650M. Lebek331111113
LJun 17 · 22:50P. Kurek4791111882M. Lebek44118311113
LJun 11 · 05:10P. Kurek331111651M. Lebek4413911113
WJun 10 · 23:10P. Kurek4311129113M. Lebek399101191
P. Kurek10
LSep 18 · 06:45P. Kurek1.80871141M. Adamus1.9011119113LSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.5511118113P. Kurek1.45331171WSep 18 · 03:35P. Kurek2.1511611113P. Polok1.60811591WSep 17 · 13:55P. Kurek1.1711811113I. Szymanski4.50811621LSep 17 · 12:40P. Kurek1.2071111732K. Kowalski4.33116511113WSep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.3831111113P. Gumulinski1.53117761WSep 17 · 10:10L. Oracz1.7381111582P. Kurek2.00116811113LSep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.53811951W. Ptak2.3811711113LSep 17 · 07:45P. Kurek2.1011711482L. Oracz1.67611911113
M. Lebek10
WSep 18 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek2.9010890M. Lebek1.271211113LSep 18 · 06:25M. Lebek2.10118851P. Polok1.6551111113WSep 18 · 04:50M. Lebek1.5711119133Y. Fomin2.209411111WSep 18 · 04:00M. Adamus2.25911571M. Lebek1.5511811113WSep 18 · 02:45M. Lebek2.141112113P. Polok1.5861070LSep 18 · 01:10M. Lebek1.3781180G. Jurowicz2.701113113LSep 18 · 24:00M. Lebek1.65811891M. Adamus2.1011811113LSep 17 · 22:25M. Lebek2.059830M. Koczyba1.641111113WSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272LSep 17 · 08:20J. Pruszkowski1.8361211113M. Lebek1.831110861
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