TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147405
Played Sep 18Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.37
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
8111113811––––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.70
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
62 points played in total.
Set by set
8111113811––––
H2H Marian Lebek 8–2 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.37 (66%)
Lebek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Lebek
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1425 vs Jurowicz 1344
Lebek
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 20% vs Jurowicz 60%
Jurowicz
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 50% vs Jurowicz 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek -2 · Jurowicz +3
Jurowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Lebek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (37%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.37 / Jurowicz 2.70
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Lebek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13147405
Lebek1.37
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 242 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it97% 164 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it83% 214 of 259
Jurowicz2.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek8wins
AwayJurowicz2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek85.7%6 of 7
AwayJurowicz33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek7Jurowicz3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S2Lebek9Jurowicz1n = 10Lebek took 9 of 10
S3Lebek7Jurowicz3n = 10Lebek took 7 of 10
S4Lebek3Jurowicz3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekJurowiczL − JBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.430.8+8.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime850 / 1459 vs 312 / 78958.3%39.5%850 / 1459 vs 312 / 789Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.37/Jurowicz 2.70
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.3%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 23:10M. Lebek3811511113G. Jurowicz25611171
WOct 3 · 12:20M. Lebek4871215143G. Jurowicz46111013121
WOct 3 · 08:20M. Lebek331111113G. Jurowicz175930
WJul 23 · 12:20M. Lebek5511111012113G. Jurowicz4776121482
WJul 15 · 15:30M. Lebek331111113G. Jurowicz207940
WJul 15 · 09:30M. Lebek331111113G. Jurowicz134270
LJun 24 · 16:20M. Lebek369111061G. Jurowicz4111712113
LJun 24 · 06:45M. Lebek4213118822G. Jurowicz511171111113
WJun 10 · 14:20M. Lebek331111113G. Jurowicz197480
WJun 10 · 06:20M. Lebek43101111113G. Jurowicz29125841
M. Lebek10
LSep 18 · 24:00M. Lebek1.65811891M. Adamus2.1011811113LSep 17 · 22:25M. Lebek2.059830M. Koczyba1.641111113WSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272LSep 17 · 08:20J. Pruszkowski1.8361211113M. Lebek1.831110861LSep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.15711129113M. Lebek1.28116101132WSep 17 · 05:35O. Vincenec2.255690M. Lebek1.521111113WSep 17 · 04:50O. Jadach1.756470M. Lebek1.901111113LSep 17 · 03:10P. Adamus1.80111278113M. Lebek1.90810111172WSep 17 · 02:20J. Pruszkowski1.635111071M. Lebek2.0511912113WSep 17 · 01:35O. Sokolowski2.955121161M. Lebek1.3511148113
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.4571111113G. Jurowicz2.50116691WSep 18 · 24:25G. Jurowicz3.15612116113P. Polok1.30111091192WSep 17 · 22:50G. Jurowicz2.50111211113M. Tkocz1.45714451WSep 17 · 22:00M. Adamus1.57611861G. Jurowicz2.1511811113LSep 17 · 20:45G. Jurowicz3.203250P. Zemla1.271111113LSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690
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