TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147409
Played Sep 18Finished
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Home
3.15
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111210119611119
Pawel Polok
Away
1.30
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:05 and never touched — 75.6% is still 75.6%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
75.6%
75.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
96 points played in total.
Set by set
6111210119611119
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:05What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (71%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Jurowicz 1327 vs Polok 1517
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 189 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Jurowicz 40% vs Polok 60%
Polok
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Jurowicz 40% vs Polok 70%
Polok
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Jurowicz +2 · Polok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 76% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (60%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsJurowicz 3.15 / Polok 1.30
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13147409
Jurowicz3.15
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Polok1.30
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 82 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricJurowiczPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 788 vs 122 / 18739.5%65.2%311 / 788 vs 122 / 187Avg sets wonper match1.72.3per matchAvg pointsper match35.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
PolokJurowicz 3.15/Polok 1.30
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
73.6%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Jurowicz won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 18 · 02:00M. Koczyba1.4571111113G. Jurowicz2.50116691WSep 18 · 01:10M. Lebek1.3781180G. Jurowicz2.701113113WSep 17 · 22:50G. Jurowicz2.50111211113M. Tkocz1.45714451WSep 17 · 22:00M. Adamus1.57611861G. Jurowicz2.1511811113LSep 17 · 20:45G. Jurowicz3.203250P. Zemla1.271111113LSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690
P. Polok10
WSep 18 · 01:35P. Polok1.731111123M. Tkocz1.9255100LSep 17 · 23:10M. Adamus2.3513124113P. Polok1.5011101161WSep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.9310870P. Polok1.721211113WSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok1.6112411153M. Lebek2.0910119131WSep 16 · 24:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 16 · 24:00S. Szostok1.881012117113P. Polok1.82121091162WSep 15 · 23:10P. Polok1.071112113K. Kowalski6.2041070LSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113WSep 15 · 20:45R. Adach3.655150P. Polok1.221111113WSep 15 · 19:35P. Polok1.751115113K. Juszczyk1.9861370
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