TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13143321
Played Sep 17Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611118811611––
Grzegorz Jurowicz
Away
2.15
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:12 and never touched — 60.0% is still 60.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
60.0%
60.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
611118811611––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 16–9 Grzegorz Jurowicz Grzegorz Jurowicz has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:12What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Adamus
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Adamus
Wrong
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1445 vs Jurowicz 1295
Adamus
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 40% vs Jurowicz 20%
Adamus
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Jurowicz 20%
Adamus
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Jurowicz -3
Jurowicz
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jurowicz form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.57 / Jurowicz 2.15
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Adamus)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13143321
Adamus1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite54% won 207 of 381
Up 2–0, closes it88% 75 of 85
Up 1–0, closes it71% 139 of 196
Jurowicz2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog36% won 93 of 256
Down 0–1, comes back18% 28 of 155
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus7wins
AwayJurowicz3wins
1 of 10 to a deciderAdamus leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus83.3%5 of 6
AwayJurowicz50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus6Jurowicz4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S2Adamus5Jurowicz5n = 10split evenly
S3Adamus9Jurowicz1n = 10Adamus took 9 of 10
S4Adamus4Jurowicz2n = 6Adamus took 4 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusJurowiczA − JBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.632.1+5.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusJurowiczBasisWin rate · lifetime801 / 1639 vs 309 / 78648.9%39.3%801 / 1639 vs 309 / 786Avg sets wonper match2.01.7per matchAvg pointsper match39.135.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.57/Jurowicz 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Jurowicz won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 13:55M. Adamus43101111113G. Jurowicz29125751
WAug 3 · 07:55M. Adamus4011711113G. Jurowicz36911971
WJul 2 · 13:55M. Adamus371111153G. Jurowicz2575130
LJul 2 · 07:55M. Adamus30571171G. Jurowicz4211119113
LJun 22 · 10:20M. Adamus521114115112G. Jurowicz55816711133
WJun 10 · 16:40M. Adamus331111113G. Jurowicz227690
WJun 10 · 10:40M. Adamus4211911113G. Jurowicz33711871
WMay 8 · 14:20M. Adamus3961111113G. Jurowicz26116541
LMay 8 · 06:20M. Adamus2779110G. Jurowicz351111133
WApr 10 · 16:40M. Adamus331111113G. Jurowicz184770
M. Adamus10
WSep 16 · 20:45O. Sokolowski1.855911121M. Adamus1.8011118143LSep 16 · 19:35M. Adamus1.53811891J. Kaczmarek2.2311811113LSep 16 · 18:25S. Krupa1.8311118113M. Adamus1.86741191LSep 16 · 17:10A. Ruszkiewicz2.001112113M. Adamus1.7391080WSep 16 · 15:35M. Koczyba1.61118641M. Adamus2.2071111113WSep 15 · 16:20M. Adamus1.969111111143R. Gajda1.70113135122WSep 15 · 15:05M. Adamus2.374121111113R. Skotniczny1.51111013332LSep 15 · 13:55M. Adamus1.8301251182K. Jablonski1.831110118113LSep 15 · 12:45L. Oracz1.551111510113M. Adamus2.3079111252WSep 15 · 11:55M. Adamus2.6511119113M. Durda1.40891161
G. Jurowicz10
LSep 17 · 20:45G. Jurowicz3.203250P. Zemla1.271111113LSep 17 · 19:10G. Jurowicz2.9551020M. Koczyba1.361112113LSep 17 · 18:00G. Jurowicz2.50331681W. Pytlas1.43111114113WSep 17 · 16:25G. Jurowicz1.681111113W. Jozala2.058560LSep 17 · 15:10G. Jurowicz2.7571191152M. Tkocz1.40118117113LSep 16 · 02:10K. Schaniel2.001111113G. Jurowicz1.735690LSep 16 · 01:25J. Pruszkowski1.611111113G. Jurowicz2.209730WSep 15 · 23:20M. Koczyba1.57111051142G. Jurowicz2.25412118113LSep 15 · 22:35G. Marud1.4011117113G. Jurowicz2.75741111LSep 15 · 21:00P. Adamus1.531111113G. Jurowicz2.387650
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G. Jurowicz
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