TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13148346
Played Sep 18Finished
Marian Lebek
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191149111311––
Yurij Fomin
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:06 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeMarian Lebek to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
79 points played in total.
Set by set
1191149111311––
H2H Marian Lebek 13–4 Yurij Fomin Yurij Fomin has won 4 of their 17 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:06What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (58%)
Lebek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-4 in 17
Lebek
Correct
gap of 9 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lebek 1439 vs Fomin 1293
Lebek
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lebek 40% vs Fomin 20%
Lebek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lebek 50% vs Fomin 20%
Lebek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lebek +2 · Fomin -4
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Lebek) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLebek 1.57 / Fomin 2.20
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Lebek)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13148346
Lebek1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 242 of 384
Up 2–0, closes it97% 164 of 170
Up 1–0, closes it83% 214 of 259
Fomin2.20
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLebek8wins
AwayFomin2wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLebek leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLebek88.9%8 of 9
AwayFominn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lebek9Fomin1n = 10Lebek took 9 of 10
S2Lebek8Fomin2n = 10Lebek took 8 of 10
S3Lebek8Fomin2n = 10Lebek took 8 of 10
S4Lebek2Fomin1n = 3Lebek took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home770%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLebekFominL − FBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match35.326.0+9.3per matchSweeps70+73–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLebekFominBasisWin rate · lifetime852 / 1458 vs 268 / 55358.4%48.5%852 / 1458 vs 268 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LebekLebek 1.57/Fomin 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.8%
Lebek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lebek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 07:10M. Lebek3811115113Y. Fomin28471161
LSep 4 · 08:20M. Lebek35117891Y. Fomin3741111113
WAug 27 · 05:35M. Lebek361111143Y. Fomin2457120
WAug 26 · 05:35M. Lebek361111143Y. Fomin2466120
WAug 21 · 03:10M. Lebek331111113Y. Fomin194960
WAug 19 · 22:50M. Lebek331111113Y. Fomin193790
WAug 16 · 10:10M. Lebek331111113Y. Fomin269980
WAug 16 · 03:50M. Lebek331111113Y. Fomin219660
WAug 14 · 06:25M. Lebek331111113Y. Fomin186660
LJul 1 · 07:10M. Lebek4394111182Y. Fomin44111129113
M. Lebek10
LSep 18 · 06:25M. Lebek2.10118851P. Polok1.6551111113WSep 18 · 04:00M. Adamus2.25911571M. Lebek1.5511811113WSep 18 · 02:45M. Lebek2.141112113P. Polok1.5861070LSep 18 · 01:10M. Lebek1.3781180G. Jurowicz2.701113113LSep 18 · 24:00M. Lebek1.65811891M. Adamus2.1011811113LSep 17 · 22:25M. Lebek2.059830M. Koczyba1.641111113WSep 17 · 21:10M. Lebek2.001171110113M. Tkocz1.7151161272LSep 17 · 08:20J. Pruszkowski1.8361211113M. Lebek1.831110861LSep 17 · 07:35O. Sokolowski3.15711129113M. Lebek1.28116101132WSep 17 · 05:35O. Vincenec2.255690M. Lebek1.521111113
Y. Fomin10
WSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.3291111153Y. Fomin1.491197131LSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113LSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113LSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.74981181M. Baron1.9511118113
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