TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127971
Played Sep 14Finished
Yurij Fomin
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711911511––––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.54
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:21 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
711911511––––
H2H Yurij Fomin 32–65 Grzegorz Wichowski Yurij Fomin has won 32 of their 97 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Wichowski beat Fomin 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.54 (59%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-65 in 97
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 33 in 97, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1294 vs Wichowski 1399
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 40% vs Wichowski 60%
Wichowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 30% vs Wichowski 70%
Wichowski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin -2 · Wichowski +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.25 / Wichowski 1.54
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13127971
Fomin2.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 49 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 88
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 56
Wichowski1.54
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite66% won 239 of 360
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it83% 179 of 217
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFomin6wins
AwayWichowski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin71.4%5 of 7
AwayWichowski66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin7Wichowski3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S2Fomin3Wichowski7n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S3Fomin7Wichowski3n = 10Fomin took 7 of 10
S4Fomin5Wichowski4n = 9Fomin took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricFominWichowskiF − WBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.436.1+2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 550 vs 570 / 93148.6%61.2%267 / 550 vs 570 / 931Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiFomin 2.25/Wichowski 1.54
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.4%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 06:45Y. Fomin371181081G. Wichowski4061112113
WSep 7 · 16:20Y. Fomin341112113G. Wichowski2171040
LSep 7 · 06:45Y. Fomin30118741G. Wichowski3741111113
WAug 24 · 12:45Y. Fomin49811118113G. Wichowski4311791152
WAug 24 · 10:20Y. Fomin4111712113G. Wichowski356111081
LAug 17 · 12:45Y. Fomin34681191G. Wichowski3911116113
WAug 17 · 10:20Y. Fomin3711114113G. Wichowski32841191
WJul 3 · 12:15Y. Fomin3611211123G. Wichowski399119101
WJul 3 · 08:35Y. Fomin3911611113G. Wichowski30611761
LJun 15 · 13:10Y. Fomin47861111112G. Wichowski45111173133
Y. Fomin10
LSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113LSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.74981181M. Baron1.9511118113LSep 14 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5661112113Y. Fomin2.171181081LSep 14 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.851011471J. Pruszkowski1.8012611113WSep 11 · 08:45Y. Fomin1.601111113J. Nowak2.155480
G. Wichowski10
WSep 14 · 15:30W. Tobiasz2.60113541G. Wichowski1.41111111113WSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141LSep 14 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.5311991182M. Baron2.35611116113WSep 14 · 12:20P. Mecik2.6581120G. Wichowski1.381113113LSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123LSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.4271210101W. Tobiasz2.50111012123WSep 14 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.4131111113P. Mecik2.55119741WSep 14 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5661112113Y. Fomin2.171181081WSep 14 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.481511113M. Baron2.3613590WSep 11 · 16:40P. Mecik2.90811451G. Wichowski1.3211811113
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