TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13127712
Played Sep 14Finished
Wojciech Tobiasz
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1111311511411––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.41
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:50 and never touched — 74.3% is still 74.3%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
74.3%
74.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
67 points played in total.
Set by set
1111311511411––
H2H Wojciech Tobiasz 27–91 Grzegorz Wichowski Wojciech Tobiasz has won 27 of their 118 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Tobiasz beat Wichowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:50What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.41 (65%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
27-91 in 118
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 64 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tobiasz 1287 vs Wichowski 1391
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 103 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tobiasz 60% vs Wichowski 40%
Tobiasz
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tobiasz 50% vs Wichowski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tobiasz +1 · Wichowski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTobiasz 2.60 / Wichowski 1.41
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13127712
Tobiasz2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog38% won 78 of 206
Down 0–1, comes back19% 22 of 114
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 66
Wichowski1.41
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 239 of 360
Up 2–0, closes it98% 117 of 120
Up 1–0, closes it83% 179 of 217
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTobiasz1wins
AwayWichowski9wins
1 of 10 to a deciderWichowski leads 9–1, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTobiasz33.3%1 of 3
AwayWichowski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tobiasz3Wichowski7n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S2Tobiasz2Wichowski8n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S3Tobiasz3Wichowski7n = 10Wichowski took 7 of 10
S4Tobiasz2Wichowski5n = 7Wichowski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricTobiaszWichowskiT − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.339.3−8.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTobiaszWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime327 / 710 vs 569 / 93046.1%61.2%327 / 710 vs 569 / 930Avg sets wonper match1.92.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiTobiasz 2.60/Wichowski 1.41
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.2%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 09:30W. Tobiasz45111012123G. Wichowski3971210101
LSep 7 · 13:10W. Tobiasz3113990G. Wichowski371511113
LSep 7 · 05:30W. Tobiasz311171121G. Wichowski4013115113
LSep 4 · 15:05W. Tobiasz25113741G. Wichowski3521111113
LSep 4 · 09:05W. Tobiasz2585120G. Wichowski361111143
LAug 21 · 13:30W. Tobiasz2484120G. Wichowski361111143
LAug 21 · 07:30W. Tobiasz301111351G. Wichowski4113611113
LAug 17 · 16:20W. Tobiasz4271191142G. Wichowski44115116113
LAug 17 · 06:45W. Tobiasz361193131G. Wichowski4361111153
LAug 10 · 14:45W. Tobiasz24741121G. Wichowski4211119113
W. Tobiasz10
WSep 14 · 14:20W. Tobiasz1.8191111113P. Mecik1.83118981LSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113WSep 14 · 11:30W. Tobiasz1.951111113M. Baron1.719940LSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962WSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.4271210101W. Tobiasz2.50111012123LSep 14 · 08:45W. Tobiasz2.856810J. Pruszkowski1.351111113WSep 14 · 07:10W. Tobiasz1.95125912113M. Baron1.711011111062WSep 14 · 06:20P. Mecik1.88771111102W. Tobiasz1.76111184123LSep 7 · 16:40R. Skotniczny1.4581211113W. Tobiasz2.551110731LSep 7 · 15:55S. Szostok1.509111111113W. Tobiasz2.4011981342
G. Wichowski10
WSep 14 · 14:45G. Wichowski2.0611116113J. Pruszkowski1.63641141LSep 14 · 13:10G. Wichowski1.5311991182M. Baron2.35611116113WSep 14 · 12:20P. Mecik2.6581120G. Wichowski1.381113113LSep 14 · 11:05G. Wichowski2.0697100J. Pruszkowski1.631111123LSep 14 · 09:30G. Wichowski1.4271210101W. Tobiasz2.50111012123WSep 14 · 08:20G. Wichowski1.4131111113P. Mecik2.55119741WSep 14 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5661112113Y. Fomin2.171181081WSep 14 · 05:30G. Wichowski1.481511113M. Baron2.3613590WSep 11 · 16:40P. Mecik2.90811451G. Wichowski1.3211811113LSep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.2511115113G. Wichowski1.54851141
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