TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13113299
Played Sep 11Finished
Patryk Mecik
Home
2.90
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118411511––
Grzegorz Wichowski
Away
1.32
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:43 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeGrzegorz Wichowski to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
811118411511––
H2H Patryk Mecik 31–115 Grzegorz Wichowski Patryk Mecik has won 31 of their 146 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Wichowski beat Mecik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:43What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Wichowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-115 in 146
Wichowski
Correct
gap of 84 in 146, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mecik 1229 vs Wichowski 1370
Wichowski
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mecik 0% vs Wichowski 60%
Wichowski
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mecik 10% vs Wichowski 30%
Wichowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mecik -5 · Wichowski -1
Mecik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Wichowski) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wichowski form (60%) is below what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMecik 2.90 / Wichowski 1.32
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Wichowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13113299
Mecik2.90
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 104 of 278
Down 0–1, comes back19% 30 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back2% 2 of 90
Wichowski1.32
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 252 of 380
Up 2–0, closes it98% 125 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it84% 189 of 226
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMecik2wins
AwayWichowski8wins
Wichowski leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMecik25%1 of 4
AwayWichowski83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mecik4Wichowski6n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S2Mecik4Wichowski6n = 10Wichowski took 6 of 10
S3Mecik2Wichowski8n = 10Wichowski took 8 of 10
S4Mecik2Wichowski6n = 8Wichowski took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMecikWichowskiM − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.039.0−8.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMecikWichowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime325 / 818 vs 568 / 93039.7%61.1%325 / 818 vs 568 / 930Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WichowskiMecik 2.90/Wichowski 1.32
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.1%
Wichowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Wichowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik—113951G. Wichowski—71111113
WSep 7 · 15:30P. Mecik—13116113G. Wichowski—1191191
LSep 7 · 09:30P. Mecik—1011981G. Wichowski—12711113
WAug 31 · 12:20P. Mecik—41112113G. Wichowski—1171071
LAug 31 · 08:20P. Mecik—116871G. Wichowski—81111113
LAug 17 · 11:55P. Mecik—118391G. Wichowski—81111113
LAug 17 · 05:55P. Mecik—7440G. Wichowski—1111113
LAug 10 · 12:20P. Mecik—9730G. Wichowski—1111113
LAug 10 · 08:20P. Mecik—691271G. Wichowski—111110113
LJul 27 · 16:20P. Mecik—6117101G. Wichowski—11911123
P. Mecik10
LSep 11 · 15:05J. Pruszkowski1.32711311123P. Mecik2.90114116102LSep 11 · 14:20R. Skotniczny1.4211511113P. Mecik2.60711941LSep 11 · 13:30P. Mecik2.267860P. Kurek1.521111113LSep 11 · 12:20P. Mecik2.7510911111S. Szostok1.3612115133LSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90113951G. Wichowski1.3271111113LSep 11 · 09:05J. Pruszkowski1.35911911113P. Mecik2.9011811762WSep 11 · 08:20S. Szostok1.38711111152P. Mecik2.65119139113LSep 11 · 07:30P. Mecik2.1511361192P. Kurek1.60711118113LSep 11 · 06:20P. Mecik2.75711911R. Skotniczny1.3611711113LSep 7 · 17:05P. Mecik2.90115101192S. Szostok1.35911125113
G. Wichowski10
LSep 11 · 15:55P. Kurek2.2511115113G. Wichowski1.54851141WSep 11 · 13:55J. Pruszkowski1.8011119992G. Wichowski1.86961111113LSep 11 · 13:10S. Szostok1.851111113G. Wichowski1.809770WSep 11 · 11:30R. Skotniczny1.921110101182G. Wichowski1.72912127113WSep 11 · 10:40P. Mecik2.90113951G. Wichowski1.3271111113LSep 11 · 09:55P. Kurek2.05211119143G. Wichowski1.70118511122LSep 11 · 07:55J. Pruszkowski1.801111123G. Wichowski1.8697100LSep 11 · 07:10R. Skotniczny1.921111113G. Wichowski1.727660LSep 11 · 05:30S. Szostok1.90911911113G. Wichowski1.8011911582LSep 7 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.901112113G. Wichowski1.3471040
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