TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147256
Played Sep 18Finished
Jakub Kaczmarek
Home
2.32
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111191171513––
Yurij Fomin
Away
1.49
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:30 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeYurij Fomin to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
86 points played in total.
Set by set
9111191171513––
H2H Jakub Kaczmarek 2–23 Yurij Fomin Jakub Kaczmarek has won 2 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:30What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.49 (61%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-23 in 25
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 21 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaczmarek 1325 vs Fomin 1284
Kaczmarek
Correct
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaczmarek 60% vs Fomin 20%
Kaczmarek
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaczmarek 50% vs Fomin 20%
Kaczmarek
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaczmarek +2 · Fomin -3
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaczmarek 2.32 / Fomin 1.49
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Fomin)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13147256
Kaczmarek2.32
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 160 of 487
Down 0–1, comes back17% 54 of 312
Down 0–2, comes back2% 4 of 177
Fomin1.49
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 90 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKaczmarek0wins
AwayFomin10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKaczmarekn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayFomin100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaczmarek1Fomin9n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S2Kaczmarek2Fomin8n = 10Fomin took 8 of 10
S3Kaczmarek1Fomin9n = 10Fomin took 9 of 10
S4Kaczmarek1Fomin3n = 4Fomin took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricKaczmarekFominK − FBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.037.8−10.8per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaczmarekFominBasisWin rate · lifetime485 / 1317 vs 267 / 55136.8%48.5%485 / 1317 vs 267 / 551Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominKaczmarek 2.32/Fomin 1.49
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.2%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kaczmarek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 26 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2311480Y. Fomin351311113
LJul 1 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek228860Y. Fomin331111113
LJun 15 · 10:40J. Kaczmarek2511860Y. Fomin351311113
LApr 27 · 13:30J. Kaczmarek44610111162Y. Fomin46111266113
LApr 27 · 07:30J. Kaczmarek27115741Y. Fomin3741111113
LMar 16 · 14:55J. Kaczmarek175570Y. Fomin331111113
LMar 16 · 08:55J. Kaczmarek22312251Y. Fomin43111011113
LNov 21 · 08:10J. Kaczmarek3911111251Y. Fomin4613814113
LOct 10 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek225890Y. Fomin331111113
LAug 14 · 15:30J. Kaczmarek2991370Y. Fomin371115113
J. Kaczmarek10
WSep 18 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.5511118113P. Kurek1.45331171WSep 16 · 20:20A. Ruszkiewicz1.769590J. Kaczmarek1.901111113WSep 16 · 19:35M. Adamus1.53811891J. Kaczmarek2.2311811113LSep 16 · 17:35M. Koczyba1.299111110113J. Kaczmarek3.1011581272WSep 16 · 16:50S. Krupa1.498111371J. Kaczmarek2.3211915113LSep 16 · 15:10O. Sokolowski1.59116812123J. Kaczmarek2.138111110102WSep 16 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek1.351111113K. Kowalski3.008860LSep 16 · 07:10J. Kaczmarek3.2081111592S. Szostok1.27116911113LSep 16 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.2091412692M. Paszkiewicz1.5711121011113LSep 16 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.0441080P. Mecik1.641112113
Y. Fomin10
LSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113LSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113LSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962LSep 14 · 09:05Y. Fomin1.7571181192P. Mecik1.95117116113LSep 14 · 07:55Y. Fomin1.74981181M. Baron1.9511118113LSep 14 · 06:45G. Wichowski1.5661112113Y. Fomin2.171181081LSep 14 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.851011471J. Pruszkowski1.8012611113
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