TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13146892
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Kurek
Home
2.15
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118611115119––
Pawel Polok
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
118611115119––
H2H Pawel Kurek 0–3 Pawel Polok Pawel Kurek has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:27What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Polok
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Polok
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurek 1431 vs Polok 1490
Polok
Wrong
both rated, 60 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurek 60% vs Polok 40%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurek 70% vs Polok 50%
Kurek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurek +1 · Polok -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (40%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurek 2.15 / Polok 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Polok)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13146892
Kurek2.15
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 122 of 311
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 99
Polok1.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 82 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKurek0wins
AwayPolok3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPolok leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurek1Polok2n = 3Polok took 2 of 3
S2Kurek0Polok3n = 3Polok took 3 of 3
S3Kurek2Polok1n = 3Kurek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKurekPolokK − PBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match32.042.0−10.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurekPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime418 / 827 vs 123 / 19050.5%64.7%418 / 827 vs 123 / 190Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokKurek 2.15/Polok 1.60
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.1%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LAug 12 · 07:45P. Kurek4511711882P. Polok48711811113
LAug 4 · 03:30P. Kurek227690P. Polok331111113
LAug 3 · 21:30P. Kurek29831441P. Polok45111112113
P. Kurek10
LSep 18 · 04:25J. Kaczmarek2.5511118113P. Kurek1.45331171WSep 17 · 13:55P. Kurek1.1711811113I. Szymanski4.50811621LSep 17 · 12:40P. Kurek1.2071111732K. Kowalski4.33116511113WSep 17 · 11:25P. Kurek2.3831111113P. Gumulinski1.53117761WSep 17 · 10:10L. Oracz1.7381111582P. Kurek2.00116811113LSep 17 · 09:25P. Kurek1.53811951W. Ptak2.3811711113LSep 17 · 07:45P. Kurek2.1011711482L. Oracz1.67611911113WSep 17 · 06:30P. Kurek1.148111112113K. Kowalski5.0011871492WSep 17 · 05:15P. Kurek2.25119116113P. Gumulinski1.5791191162WSep 17 · 04:10I. Szymanski4.004730P. Kurek1.221111113
P. Polok10
LSep 18 · 02:45M. Lebek2.141112113P. Polok1.5861070WSep 18 · 01:35P. Polok1.731111123M. Tkocz1.9255100LSep 18 · 24:25G. Jurowicz3.15612116113P. Polok1.30111091192LSep 17 · 23:10M. Adamus2.3513124113P. Polok1.5011101161WSep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.9310870P. Polok1.721211113WSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok1.6112411153M. Lebek2.0910119131WSep 16 · 24:45J. Orszulik2.458770P. Polok1.491111113LSep 16 · 24:00S. Szostok1.881012117113P. Polok1.82121091162WSep 15 · 23:10P. Polok1.071112113K. Kowalski6.2041070LSep 15 · 22:00P. Polok1.806111071M. Tkocz1.9111712113
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