TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13148740
Played Sep 18Finished
Pawel Polok
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1196111191412––
Yurij Fomin
Away
2.52
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
83 points played in total.
Set by set
1196111191412––
H2H Pawel Polok 3–0 Yurij Fomin Yurij Fomin has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (64%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-0 in 3
Polok
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Polok 1506 vs Fomin 1281
Polok
Correct
both rated, 225 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Polok 60% vs Fomin 20%
Polok
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Polok 60% vs Fomin 30%
Polok
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Polok +2 · Fomin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Polok) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPolok 1.40 / Fomin 2.52
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Polok)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13148740
Polok1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 82 of 123
Up 2–0, closes it96% 45 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it84% 68 of 81
Fomin2.52
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 49 of 152
Down 0–1, comes back10% 9 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomePolok3wins
AwayFomin0wins
1 of 3 to a deciderPolok leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Polok2Fomin1n = 3Polok took 2 of 3
S2Polok0Fomin3n = 3Fomin took 3 of 3
S3Polok3Fomin0n = 3Polok took 3 of 3
S4Polok3Fomin0n = 3Polok took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home267%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricPolokFominP − FBasisWins30+3in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match45.739.7+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPolokFominBasisWin rate · lifetime126 / 194 vs 266 / 55365%48.1%126 / 194 vs 266 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PolokPolok 1.40/Fomin 2.52
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.1%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 18 · 07:35P. Polok4211611143Y. Fomin419119121
WAug 21 · 07:10P. Polok45111211113Y. Fomin35514971
WAug 16 · 06:30P. Polok50891111113Y. Fomin4311118582
P. Polok10
LSep 18 · 08:45J. Kaczmarek3.301114113P. Polok1.2791290WSep 18 · 06:25M. Lebek2.10118851P. Polok1.6551111113WSep 18 · 05:10M. Adamus2.4091290P. Polok1.511114113LSep 18 · 03:35P. Kurek2.1511611113P. Polok1.60811591LSep 18 · 02:45M. Lebek2.141112113P. Polok1.5861070WSep 18 · 01:35P. Polok1.731111123M. Tkocz1.9255100LSep 18 · 24:25G. Jurowicz3.15612116113P. Polok1.30111091192LSep 17 · 23:10M. Adamus2.3513124113P. Polok1.5011101161WSep 17 · 21:35M. Koczyba1.9310870P. Polok1.721211113WSep 16 · 02:20P. Polok1.6112411153M. Lebek2.0910119131
Y. Fomin10
LSep 18 · 08:20M. Adamus1.90137511123Y. Fomin1.801111119102WSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:50M. Lebek1.5711119133Y. Fomin2.209411111LSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.3291111153Y. Fomin1.491197131LSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113LSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113LSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962
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