TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13150131
Played Sep 18Finished
Mariusz Adamus
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
13117115111191210
Yurij Fomin
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:09 and never touched — 59.0% is still 59.0%
Graded at full timeMariusz Adamus to win
59.0%
59.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
13117115111191210
H2H Mariusz Adamus 11–11 Yurij Fomin Dead even across their 22 meetings.
Last 10 · 4–6Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:09What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-11 in 22
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adamus 1425 vs Fomin 1281
Adamus
Correct
both rated, 144 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adamus 20% vs Fomin 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adamus 50% vs Fomin 30%
Adamus
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adamus +1 · Fomin -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamus) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (20%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.90 / Fomin 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Fomin)-5.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13150131
Adamus1.90
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog42% won 172 of 410
Down 0–1, comes back21% 45 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 113
Fomin1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite69% won 90 of 131
Up 2–0, closes it98% 46 of 47
Up 1–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus4wins
AwayFomin6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFomin leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus50%2 of 4
AwayFomin66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus4Fomin6n = 10Fomin took 6 of 10
S2Adamus6Fomin4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S3Adamus6Fomin4n = 10Adamus took 6 of 10
S4Adamus3Fomin4n = 7Fomin took 4 of 7
S5Adamus1Fomin3n = 4Fomin took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusFominA − FBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.041.1−3.1per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusFominBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1636 vs 266 / 55349.1%48.1%803 / 1636 vs 266 / 553Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamusAdamus 1.90/Fomin 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Adamus · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:00M. Adamus511011811113Y. Fomin4612711882
LJul 4 · 06:45M. Adamus51119121092Y. Fomin539111012113
LJun 22 · 09:05M. Adamus4571181182Y. Fomin48118117113
WJun 1 · 15:05M. Adamus331111113Y. Fomin268990
WJun 1 · 09:05M. Adamus341211113Y. Fomin2710980
LMay 11 · 09:05M. Adamus26721161Y. Fomin4011117113
LNov 21 · 05:50M. Adamus51135111662Y. Fomin601111918113
LOct 24 · 06:25M. Adamus198470Y. Fomin331111113
WOct 10 · 07:35M. Adamus4171111123Y. Fomin361178101
LMay 26 · 13:10M. Adamus29211971Y. Fomin4211911113
M. Adamus10
WSep 18 · 06:45P. Kurek1.80871141M. Adamus1.9011119113LSep 18 · 06:00J. Kaczmarek2.351181110123M. Adamus1.52511812102LSep 18 · 05:10M. Adamus2.4091290P. Polok1.511114113LSep 18 · 04:00M. Adamus2.25911571M. Lebek1.5511811113LSep 18 · 02:20M. Adamus2.45661161M. Tkocz1.4411118113WSep 18 · 24:45M. Koczyba1.52111197102M. Adamus2.30981111123WSep 18 · 24:00M. Lebek1.65811891M. Adamus2.1011811113WSep 17 · 23:10M. Adamus2.3513124113P. Polok1.5011101161LSep 17 · 22:00M. Adamus1.57611861G. Jurowicz2.1511811113WSep 16 · 20:45O. Sokolowski1.855911121M. Adamus1.8011118143
Y. Fomin10
LSep 18 · 07:35P. Polok1.4011611143Y. Fomin2.529119121WSep 18 · 05:35P. Kurek1.668970Y. Fomin2.001111113LSep 18 · 04:50M. Lebek1.5711119133Y. Fomin2.209411111LSep 18 · 03:10J. Kaczmarek2.3291111153Y. Fomin1.491197131LSep 14 · 16:20Y. Fomin2.257950G. Wichowski1.541111113LSep 14 · 15:05Y. Fomin1.627570P. Mecik2.081111113LSep 14 · 13:55Y. Fomin1.746960M. Baron1.951111113WSep 14 · 12:45W. Tobiasz1.95511461Y. Fomin1.7011611113LSep 14 · 11:55Y. Fomin2.30611591J. Pruszkowski1.5511611113WSep 14 · 10:20Y. Fomin1.751011911113W. Tobiasz1.9012811962
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