TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148321
Played Sep 18Finished
Ruslan Serhyenko
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Artem Azarov
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 61.6% is still 61.6%
Graded at full timeArtem Azarov to win
61.6%
61.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRuslan Serhyenko above · Artem Azarov below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Artem Azarov at 61.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Ruslan Serhyenko 0–3 Artem Azarov Ruslan Serhyenko has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Azarov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Azarov
Wrong
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Serhyenko 1177 vs Azarov 1260
Azarov
Wrong
both rated, 83 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Serhyenko 20% vs Azarov 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Serhyenko 10% vs Azarov 50%
Azarov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Serhyenko -3 · Azarov -1
Serhyenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Azarov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Azarov form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSerhyenko 2.38 / Azarov 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Azarov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148321
Serhyenko2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 60 of 173
Down 0–1, comes back23% 22 of 97
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 62
Azarov1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSerhyenko0wins
AwayAzarov3wins
1 of 3 to a deciderAzarov leads 3–0, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Serhyenko1Azarov2n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S2Serhyenko1Azarov2n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S3Serhyenko1Azarov2n = 3Azarov took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricSerhyenkoAzarovS − ABasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.042.3−7.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSerhyenkoAzarovBasisWin rate · lifetime259 / 594 vs 14 / 3843.6%36.8%259 / 594 vs 14 / 38Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match36.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AzarovSerhyenko 2.38/Azarov 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.6%
Azarov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Serhyenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 11 · 19:05R. Serhyenko291241031A. Azarov44101112113
LSep 2 · 14:55R. Serhyenko2610790A. Azarov341211113
LAug 27 · 16:25R. Serhyenko501011111172A. Azarov49124913113
R. Serhyenko10
LSep 11 · 19:05R. Serhyenko2.201241031A. Azarov1.61101112113LSep 11 · 17:06I. Elfemov1.4481612113R. Serhyenko2.6311141091LSep 11 · 16:05R. Serhyenko1.91711591V. Sydorenko1.8011211113WSep 11 · 15:05Y. Bielokon1.441111371R. Serhyenko2.6313711113LSep 11 · 13:35R. Serhyenko3.404850V. Kaganovych1.301111113LSep 8 · 19:05Y. Bielokon1.501111113R. Serhyenko2.507990LSep 8 · 18:05I. Elfemov1.50117115113R. Serhyenko2.5081171182LSep 8 · 16:35V. Sydorenko2.001611113R. Serhyenko1.7314690LSep 8 · 14:35V. Hainiuk1.301111113R. Serhyenko3.403940LSep 8 · 12:35V. Kaganovych1.401111133R. Serhyenko2.7584110
A. Azarov10
LSep 17 · 18:35A. Azarov1.61108111452V. Leonov2.201211812113WSep 17 · 17:05A. Azarov1.80111117113Y. Bielokon1.9161181132LSep 17 · 15:35A. Azarov3.50911111152V. Chumak1.28111358113LSep 17 · 14:05A. Azarov1.61119591V. Sydorenko2.2081111113LSep 17 · 12:35A. Azarov3.0013590D. Boltenkov1.361511113WSep 11 · 19:05R. Serhyenko2.201241031A. Azarov1.61101112113WSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113
Upcoming Matches
R. Serhyenko
A. Azarov
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.