TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142823
Played Sep 17Finished
Artem Azarov
Home
3.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111113115118511
Valentyn Chumak
Away
1.29
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:23 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeValentyn Chumak to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtem Azarov above · Valentyn Chumak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 95 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Valentyn Chumak at 75.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Artem Azarov 0–3 Valentyn Chumak Artem Azarov has won 0 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:23What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Chumak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-3 in 3
Chumak
Correct
gap of 3 in 3, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Azarov 1261 vs Chumak 1453
Chumak
Correct
both rated, 192 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Azarov 60% vs Chumak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Azarov 40% vs Chumak 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Azarov -2 · Chumak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Chumak) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chumak form (60%) is below what odds imply (78%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAzarov 3.50 / Chumak 1.28
Signal prob.24% / 76%
Edge (Chumak)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13142823
Azarov3.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 9 of 28
Down 0–1, comes back12% 2 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back8% 1 of 12
Chumak1.28
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 52 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it90% 18 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it65% 32 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeAzarov0wins
AwayChumak3wins
Chumak leads 3–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAzarovn = 0, below the 3 needed
AwayChumak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Azarov0Chumak3n = 3Chumak took 3 of 3
S2Azarov1Chumak2n = 3Chumak took 2 of 3
S3Azarov0Chumak3n = 3Chumak took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away267%
These 3 meetings
MetricAzarovChumakA − CBasisWins03−3in 3 meetingsFirst set03−3of 3Avg pointsper match29.037.3−8.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAzarovChumakBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 35 vs 283 / 55237.1%51.3%13 / 35 vs 283 / 552Avg sets wonper match1.62.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.138.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChumakAzarov 3.50/Chumak 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.9%
Chumak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Chumak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 10 · 16:55A. Azarov2899100V. Chumak341111123
LSep 3 · 17:05A. Azarov3910111171V. Chumak4512913113
LSep 2 · 16:55A. Azarov209290V. Chumak331111113
A. Azarov10
LSep 17 · 14:05A. Azarov1.61119591V. Sydorenko2.2081111113LSep 17 · 12:35A. Azarov3.0013590D. Boltenkov1.361511113WSep 11 · 19:05R. Serhyenko2.201241031A. Azarov1.61101112113WSep 11 · 18:05V. Sydorenko1.83681131A. Azarov1.8311118113WSep 11 · 16:35Y. Bielokon1.831112129122A. Azarov1.839141011143LSep 11 · 14:35V. Kaganovych1.331111113A. Azarov3.252370WSep 10 · 20:25D. Boltenkov1.2081161172A. Azarov4.33115114113LSep 10 · 18:55A. Azarov3.255590A. Lifanov1.331111113LSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 14:55I. Elfemov1.5311114123A. Azarov2.389411101
V. Chumak10
WSep 17 · 14:35V. Chumak2.2512811113D. Boltenkov1.571011941LSep 17 · 13:35Y. Bielokon2.38101111123V. Chumak1.531248101WSep 10 · 19:55V. Chumak1.731111113A. Lifanov2.005840LSep 10 · 17:55I. Elfemov3.0031112113V. Chumak1.361181021WSep 10 · 16:55V. Chumak1.331111123A. Azarov3.2599100LSep 10 · 15:55V. Sharpai1.73911511113V. Chumak2.0011411792LSep 10 · 14:25V. Chumak2.385101181D. Boltenkov1.5311125113WSep 7 · 19:05V. Chumak2.20118911113V. Sharpai1.6161111872LSep 7 · 17:05O. Korobov1.33117811133V. Chumak3.25711114112WSep 7 · 16:05V. Chumak1.911112113V. Kaganovych1.8071070
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