TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147064
Played Sep 18Finished
Radek Rose
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
10128111012––––
Jiri Ruzicka
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeJiri Ruzicka to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadek Rose above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 10-12
Point 63 set 3, 10-12 — our read held Jiri Ruzicka at 66.9%
63 points played in total.
H2H Radek Rose 5–16 Jiri Ruzicka Radek Rose has won 5 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:49What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ruzicka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-16 in 21
Ruzicka
Correct
gap of 11 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Rose 1668 vs Ruzicka 1757
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 88 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Rose 40% vs Ruzicka 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rose 50% vs Ruzicka 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rose -2 · Ruzicka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Ruzicka) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRose 2.63 / Ruzicka 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Ruzicka)+4.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147064
Rose2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog27% won 12 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back4% 1 of 27
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 18
Ruzicka1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite57% won 167 of 291
Up 2–0, closes it94% 91 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it77% 125 of 163
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeRose3wins
AwayRuzicka7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderRuzicka leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeRose66.7%2 of 3
AwayRuzicka85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Rose3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S2Rose3Ruzicka7n = 10Ruzicka took 7 of 10
S3Rose6Ruzicka4n = 10Rose took 6 of 10
S4Rose2Ruzicka6n = 8Ruzicka took 6 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricRoseRuzickaRose − RuzickaBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.140.4−5.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRoseRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 333 vs 686 / 141745.4%48.4%151 / 333 vs 686 / 1417Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.938.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RuzickaRose 2.63/Ruzicka 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Ruzicka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJul 31 · 15:00R. Rose2051050J. Ruzicka341112113
LJun 4 · 20:59R. Rose32971151J. Ruzicka4111118113
WJun 4 · 20:30R. Rose4011711113J. Ruzicka25711431
LApr 28 · 19:30R. Rose32971151J. Ruzicka4011117113
LMar 16 · 17:30R. Rose5013141851J. Ruzicka58151616113
WMar 15 · 17:30R. Rose47812115113J. Ruzicka48111091172
LFeb 9 · 19:30R. Rose164390J. Ruzicka331111113
LDec 21 · 11:30R. Rose31941171J. Ruzicka4011117113
WSep 18 · 21:00R. Rose4514119113J. Ruzicka341221191
LSep 18 · 18:30R. Rose3813118422J. Ruzicka511171111113
R. Rose10
LSep 18 · 22:00O. Svacha1.33101111113R. Rose3.25129391LSep 14 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk1.52125311113R. Rose2.35101111682WSep 14 · 16:30R. Urbaniec2.25118361R. Rose1.5781111113LSep 14 · 15:30R. Rose2.3851190O. Kolisnyk1.531113113WSep 14 · 14:30A. Brazda2.75127551R. Rose1.40101111113LSep 13 · 03:29R. Rose1.8331171182R. Wagner1.83119114113WSep 13 · 01:30R. Rose1.501111113S. Kasnik2.504540WSep 13 · 24:30M. Regner1.618950R. Rose2.201111113WSep 12 · 23:30J. Louda2.006650R. Rose1.731111113LSep 12 · 22:30R. Rose1.6711981272R. Wagner2.106111110113
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 19 · 24:00J. Ruzicka1.44111111113R. Urbaniec2.63691361LSep 18 · 03:00A. Barton1.631111123J. Ruzicka2.1364100WSep 18 · 01:30J. Ruzicka2.38118815113A. Barton1.53911111352LSep 18 · 24:30M. Wagner1.911111113J. Ruzicka1.807970LSep 17 · 23:30O. Kolisnyk2.001111113J. Ruzicka1.735620WSep 17 · 22:30J. Ruzicka1.611111123J. Simecek2.2087100LSep 17 · 03:30M. Huk1.6511116113J. Ruzicka2.10881191WSep 17 · 02:00J. Ruzicka2.20114311113M. Zahradka1.6181111582LSep 17 · 01:00J. Ruzicka2.1011520T. Postelt1.671311113WSep 17 · 24:00E. Mares1.501213101192J. Ruzicka2.501015129113
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