TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13139838
Played Sep 16Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
4.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119611811––
Konrad Staszczyk
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:51 and never touched — 79.0% is still 79.0%
Graded at full timeKonrad Staszczyk to win
79.0%
79.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Konrad Staszczyk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 76 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Konrad Staszczyk at 79.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 1–5 Konrad Staszczyk Bartosz Sulkowski has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:51What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Staszczyk
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1487 vs Staszczyk 1659
Staszczyk
Correct
both rated, 172 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Staszczyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 50% vs Staszczyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski -2 · Staszczyk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 79% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staszczyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 4.00 / Staszczyk 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Staszczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13139838
Sulkowski4.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 154 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back17% 46 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 134
Staszczyk1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 157 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it89% 62 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it82% 111 of 135
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeSulkowski1wins
AwayStaszczyk5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski33.3%1 of 3
AwayStaszczyk100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski3Staszczyk3n = 6split evenly
S2Sulkowski2Staszczyk3n = 5Staszczyk took 3 of 5
S3Sulkowski3Staszczyk2n = 5Sulkowski took 3 of 5
S4Sulkowski0Staszczyk5n = 5Staszczyk took 5 of 5
S5Sulkowski1Staszczyk2n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricSulkowskiStaszczykSulkowski − StaszczykBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match32.739.7−7.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiStaszczykBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1262 vs 199 / 35144.3%56.7%559 / 1262 vs 199 / 351Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykSulkowski 4.00/Staszczyk 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LJul 12 · 15:50B. Sulkowski381371171K. Staszczyk46111113113
WJun 13 · 11:45B. Sulkowski481111114113K. Staszczyk4591341182
LMay 31 · 10:30B. Sulkowski32781161K. Staszczyk3911116113
LMay 31 · 03:00B. Sulkowski4191211632K. Staszczyk501110711113
LMay 30 · 14:15B. Sulkowski3311114522K. Staszczyk50891111113
LMay 17 · 17:55B. Sulkowski440K. Staszczyk881
B. Sulkowski10
LSep 17 · 24:10M. Kolek1.36116811113B. Sulkowski3.0061111592LSep 16 · 22:55B. Sulkowski1.448118101J. Lamperski2.6311311123LSep 16 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.004780D. Solilo1.731111113WSep 16 · 19:40B. Sulkowski2.101471111113J. Zochniak1.67121113992WSep 16 · 18:30B. Sulkowski1.83116711113M. Minda1.8341111672LSep 16 · 17:20B. Sulkowski3.50611651M. Rutkowski1.2811711113LSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo1.7313119123B. Sulkowski2.0011911101LSep 16 · 15:25B. Sulkowski3.2511117992M. Kolek1.33991111113WSep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.8011114113M. Zagajewski1.86681171WSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 17 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.171111113J. Lamperski4.507670WSep 16 · 22:35K. Staszczyk1.571111113D. Solilo2.259680WSep 16 · 21:50M. Kolek2.00761271K. Staszczyk1.73111110113LSep 15 · 24:10K. Staszczyk1.6791113972K. Kostyk2.101191111113LSep 14 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.40118119112A. Linek2.75711711133LSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk1.5097111142D. Solilo2.50111157113WSep 14 · 21:25K. Staszczyk1.221111113J. Lamperski4.008680WSep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.916970K. Staszczyk1.801111113WSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821WSep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75119871K. Staszczyk1.4061111113
Upcoming Matches
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K. Staszczyk
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