TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137072
Played Sep 16Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711811––––
Dominik Solilo
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBartosz Sulkowski above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 52 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Bartosz Sulkowski at 54.0%
52 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 9–8 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 8 of their 17 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Solilo beat Sulkowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solilo
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-8 in 17
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1516 vs Solilo 1634
Solilo
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 40% vs Solilo 60%
Solilo
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Solilo 40%
Sulkowski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +2 · Solilo -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Solilo) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 2.00 / Solilo 1.73
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Solilo)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13137072
Sulkowski2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 154 of 474
Down 0–1, comes back17% 46 of 276
Down 0–2, comes back2% 3 of 134
Solilo1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 136 of 218
Up 2–0, closes it92% 71 of 77
Up 1–0, closes it79% 99 of 126
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSulkowski6wins
AwaySolilo4wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSulkowski leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski100%5 of 5
AwaySolilo80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Solilo5n = 10split evenly
S2Sulkowski6Solilo4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S3Sulkowski6Solilo4n = 10Sulkowski took 6 of 10
S4Sulkowski2Solilo3n = 5Solilo took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSulkowskiSoliloSulkowski − SoliloBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.334.2+0.1per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1260 vs 243 / 50444.4%48.2%559 / 1260 vs 243 / 504Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloSulkowski 2.00/Solilo 1.73
Hit
What we said
56.5%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Solilo won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 06:50B. Sulkowski341111123D. Solilo2459100
WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski4213711113D. Solilo401111991
LSep 9 · 07:40B. Sulkowski27851131D. Solilo4111118113
LAug 27 · 07:15B. Sulkowski27611281D. Solilo4111811113
LAug 25 · 06:30B. Sulkowski28710110D. Solilo361112133
LAug 20 · 09:25B. Sulkowski259880D. Solilo331111113
WAug 13 · 11:00B. Sulkowski501011117113D. Solilo4212681152
WAug 12 · 12:40B. Sulkowski361114113D. Solilo2241260
WJul 17 · 13:05B. Sulkowski3811115113D. Solilo33491191
WJul 15 · 14:20B. Sulkowski361114113D. Solilo3091290
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 16 · 19:40B. Sulkowski2.101471111113J. Zochniak1.67121113992WSep 16 · 18:30B. Sulkowski1.83116711113M. Minda1.8341111672LSep 16 · 17:20B. Sulkowski3.50611651M. Rutkowski1.2811711113LSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo1.7313119123B. Sulkowski2.0011911101LSep 16 · 15:25B. Sulkowski3.2511117992M. Kolek1.33991111113WSep 11 · 14:40B. Sulkowski1.8011114113M. Zagajewski1.86681171WSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171WSep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.9211411113M. Misiak1.73811861WSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:00B. Sulkowski2.201151181B. Czerwinski1.5871113113
D. Solilo10
WSep 16 · 22:10D. Solilo1.40511511113J. Lamperski2.7511311692LSep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo1.83531281M. Kolek1.83111110113LSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73111192113M. Minda2.0077111172WSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo1.7313119123B. Sulkowski2.0011911101WSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842LSep 16 · 24:35B. Kwodawski3.40118113113D. Solilo1.3061171162LSep 15 · 22:55A. Linek2.6311911113D. Solilo1.44611881WSep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.506670D. Solilo1.501111113LSep 15 · 21:25L. Pietraszko1.801111123D. Solilo1.9196100
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