TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137073
Played Sep 16Finished
Dominik Solilo
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
5113111210811––
Maciej Kolek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDominik Solilo above · Maciej Kolek below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 71 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Dominik Solilo 8–5 Maciej Kolek Maciej Kolek has won 5 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side1 for · 4 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kolek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-5 in 13
Solilo
Wrong
gap of 3 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Solilo 1645 vs Kolek 1702
Kolek
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Solilo 60% vs Kolek 80%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Solilo 50% vs Kolek 70%
Kolek
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Solilo -1 · Kolek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solilo)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSolilo 1.83 / Kolek 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Solilo)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13137073
Solilo1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kolek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSolilo6wins
AwayKolek4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolilo leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSolilo80%4 of 5
AwayKolek60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Solilo5Kolek5n = 10split evenly
S2Solilo7Kolek3n = 10Solilo took 7 of 10
S3Solilo6Kolek4n = 10Solilo took 6 of 10
S4Solilo5Kolek3n = 8Solilo took 5 of 8
S5Solilo2Kolek3n = 5Kolek took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSoliloKolekS − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.539.5+2.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSoliloKolekBasisWin rate · lifetime243 / 503 vs 702 / 140948.3%49.8%243 / 503 vs 702 / 1409Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SoliloSolilo 1.83/Kolek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Solilo · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kolek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 13 · 12:10D. Solilo4111118113M. Kolek29371181
WSep 12 · 09:00D. Solilo331111113M. Kolek217860
WAug 13 · 09:25D. Solilo49811611133M. Kolek50118119112
LAug 12 · 11:00D. Solilo45311111372M. Kolek551113911113
WAug 10 · 04:50D. Solilo501011711113M. Kolek4612711882
LAug 4 · 03:40D. Solilo4451111982M. Kolek45116611113
WJul 21 · 09:50D. Solilo4311911123M. Kolek369116101
WJul 18 · 11:20D. Solilo331111113M. Kolek173680
LJul 9 · 04:50D. Solilo31115691M. Kolek4291111113
LJun 29 · 06:50D. Solilo4661411782M. Kolek541112911113
D. Solilo10
WSep 16 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.004780D. Solilo1.731111113LSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73111192113M. Minda2.0077111172WSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo1.7313119123B. Sulkowski2.0011911101WSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842LSep 16 · 24:35B. Kwodawski3.40118113113D. Solilo1.3061171162LSep 15 · 22:55A. Linek2.6311911113D. Solilo1.44611881WSep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.506670D. Solilo1.501111113LSep 15 · 21:25L. Pietraszko1.801111123D. Solilo1.9196100LSep 15 · 24:35D. Solilo1.36511111072J. Lamperski3.00118512113
M. Kolek10
LSep 16 · 21:50M. Kolek2.00761271K. Staszczyk1.73111110113WSep 16 · 21:25M. Kolek1.2513119133J. Lamperski3.7511911111WSep 16 · 19:15M. Kolek2.25311811143M. Rutkowski1.57116119122LSep 16 · 18:05J. Zochniak2.2561113163M. Kolek1.5711711141WSep 16 · 16:55M. Minda1.918650M. Kolek1.801111113WSep 16 · 15:25B. Sulkowski3.2511117992M. Kolek1.33991111113WSep 14 · 19:40M. Kolek1.6112911113K. Rudomina2.201011881LSep 14 · 18:30M. Kolek1.6188111192A. Linek2.20111153113WSep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek1.57811118113K. Kostyk2.2511761162WSep 14 · 16:05J. Witkowski1.8065130M. Kolek1.911111153
Upcoming Matches
D. Solilo
Sep 16 · 22:35D. Solilo2.25K. Staszczyk1.57—Sep 16 · 23:20D. Solilo1.91M. Kolek1.80—Sep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo—M. Olbrycht——Sep 17 · 10:55D. Solilo—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 17 · 11:45D. Solilo—M. Rutkowski——Sep 17 · 12:35D. Solilo—K. Kapik——Sep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 17 · 15:45D. Solilo—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo—K. Rudomina——Sep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo—M. Kolek——
M. Kolek
Sep 16 · 23:20M. Kolek1.80D. Solilo1.91—Sep 17 · 24:10M. Kolek1.36B. Sulkowski3.00—Sep 17 · 15:25M. Kolek—M. Rutkowski——Sep 17 · 16:55M. Kolek—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 18:05M. Kolek—D. Solilo——Sep 17 · 19:15M. Kolek—K. Rudomina——Sep 17 · 20:30M. Kolek—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 17 · 21:25M. Kolek—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 21:50M. Kolek—K. Staszczyk——Sep 17 · 23:20M. Kolek—M. Lukaszewski——
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