TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13112750
Played Sep 11Finished
Bartosz Sulkowski
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116118411117––
Mateusz Zagajewski
Away
1.86
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:33 and never touched — 66.2% is still 66.2%
Graded at full timeBartosz Sulkowski to win
66.2%
66.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
69 points played in total.
Set by set
116118411117––
H2H Bartosz Sulkowski 5–2 Mateusz Zagajewski Mateusz Zagajewski has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:33What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Sulkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Sulkowski
Correct
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sulkowski 1520 vs Zagajewski 1391
Sulkowski
Correct
both rated, 129 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sulkowski 60% vs Zagajewski 80%
Zagajewski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sulkowski 60% vs Zagajewski 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sulkowski +3 · Zagajewski +1
Sulkowski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Sulkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zagajewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSulkowski 1.80 / Zagajewski 1.86
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Sulkowski)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13112750
Sulkowski1.80
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 210 of 360
Up 2–0, closes it98% 95 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it82% 153 of 187
Zagajewski1.86
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 45 of 110
Down 0–1, comes back18% 11 of 62
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeSulkowski5wins
AwayZagajewski2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderSulkowski leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSulkowski80%4 of 5
AwayZagajewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sulkowski5Zagajewski2n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S2Sulkowski4Zagajewski3n = 7Sulkowski took 4 of 7
S3Sulkowski5Zagajewski2n = 7Sulkowski took 5 of 7
S4Sulkowski2Zagajewski3n = 5Zagajewski took 3 of 5
S5Sulkowski2Zagajewski1n = 3Sulkowski took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 7 meetings
MetricSulkowskiZagajewskiS − ZBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set52+3of 7Avg pointsper match40.637.4+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSulkowskiZagajewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime556 / 1254 vs 358 / 72544.3%49.4%556 / 1254 vs 358 / 725Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SulkowskiSulkowski 1.80/Zagajewski 1.86
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.2%
Sulkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sulkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WJun 12 · 09:00B. Sulkowski—114411193M. Zagajewski—811116172
LMay 29 · 08:10B. Sulkowski—11711682M. Zagajewski—811711113
WMay 8 · 11:50B. Sulkowski—911119113M. Zagajewski—11891172
LMar 13 · 14:30B. Sulkowski—381171M. Zagajewski—11117113
WMar 12 · 10:00B. Sulkowski—1411113M. Zagajewski—12650
WFeb 18 · 15:40B. Sulkowski—11119113M. Zagajewski—671181
WFeb 18 · 04:50B. Sulkowski—1211113M. Zagajewski—10370
B. Sulkowski10
WSep 11 · 13:05B. Sulkowski1.8591113113B. Mleczko1.851151171WSep 11 · 11:50B. Sulkowski1.9211411113M. Misiak1.73811861WSep 11 · 10:10B. Sulkowski1.751111113R. Stapor1.959880LSep 11 · 09:00B. Sulkowski2.201151181B. Czerwinski1.5871113113LSep 11 · 07:40K. Wisniewski1.2211118123B. Sulkowski3.756511101WSep 11 · 06:50D. Solilo1.8559100B. Sulkowski1.801111123LSep 11 · 06:00B. Sulkowski1.9311911562B. Mleczko1.78711911113LSep 11 · 04:25B. Sulkowski1.91811712102A. Linek1.801161110123WSep 11 · 03:40D. Kosmal1.30111171142B. Sulkowski3.10139115113WSep 10 · 14:20B. Sulkowski2.4513711113D. Solilo1.491111991
M. Zagajewski10
WSep 11 · 13:30M. Zagajewski1.9511711113B. Czerwinski1.75811681LSep 11 · 12:15B. Mleczko1.6912111111143M. Zagajewski1.96147713122WSep 11 · 11:00M. Misiak1.801166101M. Zagajewski1.8691111123WSep 11 · 09:25R. Stapor1.7613129892M. Zagajewski1.9011101111113WSep 11 · 08:10M. Zagajewski1.528111011113B. Wisniewski2.3711812992WSep 11 · 06:30M. Trela1.857101181M. Zagajewski1.8011128113LSep 11 · 05:40M. Misiak1.80121211113M. Zagajewski1.861014771LSep 11 · 04:55M. Zagajewski1.95119871R. Stapor1.7061111113LSep 11 · 03:50M. Zagajewski2.107118111J. Glanowski1.6011311133WSep 6 · 13:50I. Dabrowski1.9351271172M. Zagajewski1.751110118113
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