TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13137071
Played Sep 16Finished
Konrad Staszczyk
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116118––––
Dominik Solilo
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:26 and never touched — 56.4% is still 56.4%
Graded at full timeDominik Solilo to win
56.4%
56.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKonrad Staszczyk above · Dominik Solilo below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 56 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Dominik Solilo at 56.4%
56 points played in total.
H2H Konrad Staszczyk 2–1 Dominik Solilo Dominik Solilo has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:26What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Staszczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staszczyk 1644 vs Solilo 1647
Solilo
Wrong
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staszczyk 40% vs Solilo 60%
Solilo
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staszczyk 50% vs Solilo 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staszczyk +1 · Solilo +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Staszczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solilo form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaszczyk 1.57 / Solilo 2.25
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Staszczyk)-2.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13137071
Staszczyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
56%takes the first set · 5 of 9
As favourite64% won 157 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it89% 62 of 70
Up 1–0, closes it82% 111 of 135
Solilo2.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog38% won 75 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back24% 28 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeStaszczyk2wins
AwaySolilo1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderStaszczyk leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staszczyk2Solilo1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S2Staszczyk2Solilo1n = 3Staszczyk took 2 of 3
S3Staszczyk3Solilo0n = 3Staszczyk took 3 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home267%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricStaszczykSoliloStaszczyk − SoliloBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match37.031.7+5.3per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaszczykSoliloBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 350 vs 245 / 50656.6%48.4%198 / 350 vs 245 / 506Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaszczykStaszczyk 1.57/Solilo 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.7%
Staszczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Staszczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk4297111142D. Solilo45111157113
WAug 19 · 24:35K. Staszczyk351211123D. Solilo26106100
WAug 17 · 22:10K. Staszczyk341211113D. Solilo2410590
K. Staszczyk10
WSep 16 · 21:50M. Kolek2.00761271K. Staszczyk1.73111110113LSep 15 · 24:10K. Staszczyk1.6791113972K. Kostyk2.101191111113LSep 14 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.40118119112A. Linek2.75711711133LSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk1.5097111142D. Solilo2.50111157113WSep 14 · 21:25K. Staszczyk1.221111113J. Lamperski4.008680WSep 14 · 20:30J. Witkowski1.916970K. Staszczyk1.801111113WSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821WSep 14 · 18:05K. Rudomina2.75119871K. Staszczyk1.4061111113LSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162LSep 14 · 15:25M. Kolek2.103K. Staszczyk1.670
D. Solilo10
WSep 16 · 22:10D. Solilo1.40511511113J. Lamperski2.7511311692WSep 16 · 21:00B. Sulkowski2.004780D. Solilo1.731111113LSep 16 · 20:30D. Solilo1.83531281M. Kolek1.83111110113LSep 16 · 18:50D. Solilo1.83814531J. Zochniak1.83111211113WSep 16 · 17:40D. Solilo1.73111192113M. Minda2.0077111172WSep 16 · 16:05D. Solilo1.7313119123B. Sulkowski2.0011911101WSep 16 · 15:00D. Solilo3.759111111113M. Rutkowski1.2511813842LSep 16 · 24:35B. Kwodawski3.40118113113D. Solilo1.3061171162LSep 15 · 22:55A. Linek2.6311911113D. Solilo1.44611881WSep 14 · 21:50K. Staszczyk1.5097111142D. Solilo2.50111157113
Upcoming Matches
K. Staszczyk
D. Solilo
Sep 17 · 09:45D. Solilo—M. Olbrycht——Sep 17 · 10:55D. Solilo—G. Poliniewicz——Sep 17 · 11:45D. Solilo—M. Rutkowski——Sep 17 · 12:35D. Solilo—K. Kapik——Sep 17 · 14:15D. Solilo—P. Jendrzejewski——Sep 17 · 15:45D. Solilo—A. Mugowski——Sep 17 · 16:30D. Solilo—K. Rudomina——Sep 17 · 18:05D. Solilo—M. Kolek——Sep 17 · 18:50D. Solilo—M. Lukaszewski——Sep 17 · 19:40D. Solilo—M. Rutkowski——
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