TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13134181
Played Sep 16Finished
Jaromir Cernik
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Lubos Forman
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 63.4% is still 63.4%
Graded at full timeJaromir Cernik to win
63.4%
63.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaromir Cernik above · Lubos Forman below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jaromir Cernik at 63.4%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jaromir Cernik 11–7 Lubos Forman Lubos Forman has won 7 of their 18 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Forman
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-7 in 18
Cernik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 18, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cernik 1111 vs Forman 1172
Forman
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cernik 60% vs Forman 20%
Cernik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cernik 60% vs Forman 40%
Cernik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cernik -1 · Forman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Forman) · live re-read · sealed at 37% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Forman form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCernik 2.00 / Forman 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Forman)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13134181
Cernik2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 49 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back18% 18 of 100
Down 0–2, comes back10% 7 of 69
Forman1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 26 of 46
Up 2–0, closes it91% 20 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it77% 24 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCernik6wins
AwayForman4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderCernik leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCernik80%4 of 5
AwayForman60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cernik5Forman5n = 10split evenly
S2Cernik5Forman5n = 10split evenly
S3Cernik4Forman6n = 10Forman took 6 of 10
S4Cernik4Forman3n = 7Cernik took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCernikFormanC − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.138.2+0.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCernikFormanBasisWin rate · lifetime361 / 792 vs 193 / 38545.6%50.1%361 / 792 vs 193 / 385Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.436.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FormanCernik 2.00/Forman 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Forman · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Forman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 06:00J. Cernik218760L. Forman331111113
LJul 22 · 08:00J. Cernik1841220L. Forman361114113
LJun 30 · 08:59J. Cernik34931481L. Forman45111112113
WJun 30 · 08:00J. Cernik47101411123L. Forman4212128101
WJun 9 · 09:30J. Cernik4411119133L. Forman293411111
WJun 9 · 07:00J. Cernik351311113L. Forman2411760
WMar 5 · 10:01J. Cernik521110911113L. Forman4061211562
WMar 5 · 07:30J. Cernik4471115113L. Forman381171371
LFeb 24 · 10:30J. Cernik371171181L. Forman4051113113
WFeb 24 · 09:00J. Cernik591114146143L. Forman554121611122
J. Cernik10
LSep 14 · 13:30J. Cernik2.259460D. Mutl1.571111113WSep 14 · 12:00L. Novotny1.8381131192J. Cernik1.83117112113WSep 14 · 11:00L. Madle1.50981131J. Cernik2.5011118113WSep 14 · 10:30J. Cernik2.10551111113D. Mutl1.6711119772LSep 14 · 08:58J. Cernik1.837950D. Mutl1.831111113LSep 14 · 08:30M. Vrabec1.401411113J. Cernik2.7512660LSep 14 · 07:30J. Cernik1.808880J. Srba1.911111113WSep 14 · 06:30D. Mutl1.446890J. Cernik2.631111113WSep 10 · 13:30M. Smesny1.8011551162J. Cernik1.90611118113WSep 10 · 12:00J. Strnad3.40811871J. Cernik1.3011511113
L. Forman10
WSep 9 · 09:05L. Madle1.83911371L. Forman1.8311811113LSep 9 · 08:00J. Grohsgott2.00941111113L. Forman1.7311117762LSep 9 · 07:00M. Regner1.5311511113L. Forman2.38611271LSep 9 · 06:30L. Forman2.0088111172L. Madle1.73111197113LSep 2 · 09:28L. Forman1.80812117102J. Svec1.911110711123WSep 2 · 08:30D. Mutl1.3055141142L. Forman3.401111129113LSep 2 · 07:30L. Forman1.91711118102J. Svec1.80116711123WSep 2 · 06:30J. Grohsgott2.104930L. Forman1.671111113WAug 25 · 08:59J. Grohsgott1.839760L. Forman1.831111113LAug 25 · 08:30L. Forman1.30113131292M. Vrabec3.404111510113
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