TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13133623
Played Sep 15Finished
Bartosz Kwodawski
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711611711––––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:37 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingBartosz Kwodawski above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 53 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 54.0%
53 points played in total.
H2H Bartosz Kwodawski 8–12 Lukasz Pietraszko Bartosz Kwodawski has won 8 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:37What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-12 in 20
Pietraszko
Correct
gap of 4 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kwodawski 1330 vs Pietraszko 1594
Pietraszko
Correct
both rated, 264 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kwodawski 20% vs Pietraszko 40%
Pietraszko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kwodawski 30% vs Pietraszko 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kwodawski -3 · Pietraszko +2
Kwodawski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (40%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwodawski 2.75 / Pietraszko 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 70%
Edge (Pietraszko)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13133623
Kwodawski2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 41 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back18% 17 of 93
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 66
Pietraszko1.40
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 118 of 179
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it81% 83 of 102
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKwodawski4wins
AwayPietraszko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderPietraszko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwodawski100%3 of 3
AwayPietraszko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwodawski3Pietraszko6n = 9Pietraszko took 6 of 9
S2Kwodawski2Pietraszko7n = 9Pietraszko took 7 of 9
S3Kwodawski4Pietraszko5n = 9Pietraszko took 5 of 9
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKwodawskiPietraszkoK − PBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match28.030.3−2.3per matchSweeps25−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwodawskiPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime191 / 453 vs 423 / 84442.2%50.1%191 / 453 vs 423 / 844Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.237.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoKwodawski 2.75/Pietraszko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.5%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WApr 27 · 18:30B. Kwodawski4312812113L. Pietraszko3510111041
LApr 27 · 10:10B. Kwodawski36991171L. Pietraszko4111118113
LNov 17 · 14:05B. Kwodawski259970L. Pietraszko331111113
LNov 10 · 18:20B. Kwodawski187650L. Pietraszko331111113
LNov 10 · 10:00B. Kwodawski227780L. Pietraszko331111113
LOct 27 · 12:25B. Kwodawski182790L. Pietraszko331111113
WSep 29 · 10:35B. Kwodawski331111113L. Pietraszko188550
WSep 9 · 12:40B. Kwodawski331111113L. Pietraszko143560
LSep 2 · 09:50B. Kwodawski249780L. Pietraszko331111113
B. Kwodawski10
LSep 15 · 15:45B. Kwodawski3.259820J. Witkowski1.331111113LSep 5 · 19:40D. Poloszczanski2.40128612113B. Kwodawski1.501011111082LSep 5 · 18:55B. Sulkowski1.5311119113B. Kwodawski2.30671161WSep 5 · 18:10B. Kwodawski3.055111011113A. Lilien1.3111812872LSep 5 · 16:35B. Kwodawski1.639550K. Kufel2.151111113LSep 5 · 15:50J. Michalczyk1.78311812113B. Kwodawski1.93116111042WSep 5 · 14:35J. Przewlocki1.85119881B. Kwodawski1.8551111113LSep 5 · 13:25B. Kwodawski2.90911621M. Minda1.3511911113WSep 5 · 12:10J. Wozniak1.8710650B. Kwodawski1.811211113LSep 5 · 10:55K. Klocek1.9511811113B. Kwodawski1.77911451
L. Pietraszko10
WSep 15 · 15:25J. Lamperski2.636990L. Pietraszko1.441111113WSep 14 · 24:35A. Wos2.1010111171L. Pietraszko1.6712613113LSep 13 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.361111113L. Pietraszko3.007890LSep 13 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.671111113L. Pietraszko2.106770LSep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam1.611111113L. Pietraszko2.204850LSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.911111113L. Pietraszko1.809280LSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470LSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113
Upcoming Matches
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