TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13125259
Played Sep 14Finished
Alan Wos
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121161113711––
Lukasz Pietraszko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeLukasz Pietraszko to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAlan Wos above · Lukasz Pietraszko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 81 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Lukasz Pietraszko at 60.9%
81 points played in total.
H2H Alan Wos 2–3 Lukasz Pietraszko Alan Wos has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Pietraszko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wos 1569 vs Pietraszko 1559
Wos
Wrong
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wos 60% vs Pietraszko 0%
Wos
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wos 80% vs Pietraszko 10%
Wos
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wos -1 · Pietraszko -5
Pietraszko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Pietraszko) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pietraszko form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWos 2.10 / Pietraszko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Pietraszko)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13125259
Wos2.10
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 93 of 302
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 179
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 99
Pietraszko1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite67% won 117 of 176
Up 2–0, closes it93% 51 of 55
Up 1–0, closes it81% 82 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeWos2wins
AwayPietraszko3wins
4 of 5 to a deciderPietraszko leads 3–2, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWosn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayPietraszko33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wos2Pietraszko3n = 5Pietraszko took 3 of 5
S2Wos3Pietraszko2n = 5Wos took 3 of 5
S3Wos4Pietraszko1n = 5Wos took 4 of 5
S4Wos2Pietraszko3n = 5Pietraszko took 3 of 5
S5Wos1Pietraszko3n = 4Pietraszko took 3 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home120%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away360%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricWosPietraszkoW − PBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match43.844.8−1.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWosPietraszkoBasisWin rate · lifetime278 / 706 vs 426 / 85239.4%50%278 / 706 vs 426 / 852Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PietraszkoWos 2.10/Pietraszko 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Pietraszko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pietraszko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
LSep 7 · 24:35A. Wos451121111102L. Pietraszko50811613123
WAug 22 · 16:05A. Wos3961111113L. Pietraszko31117491
LAug 16 · 17:20A. Wos4771116852L. Pietraszko561191411113
LJul 5 · 15:45A. Wos4311117952L. Pietraszko47771111113
WJun 28 · 18:30A. Wos45571111113L. Pietraszko4011118732
A. Wos10
LSep 13 · 23:45M. Rutkowski1.404111210113A. Wos2.75115101292WSep 13 · 22:35A. Wos2.75711126113F. Mlynarski1.40118101142LSep 13 · 21:50D. Jadam1.50691113113A. Wos2.50111161182WSep 13 · 19:40J. Glanowski2.32911791A. Wos1.5011911113WSep 13 · 18:55K. Marchlewski4.7513146982A. Wos1.1311121111113WSep 13 · 18:10A. Wos1.231111113D. Kotwica3.502850WSep 13 · 16:35A. Wos1.45891111113R. Stapor2.5511119582WSep 13 · 15:50K. Rudomina2.0512117842A. Wos1.681091111113WSep 13 · 24:10A. Wos1.271111113D. Kotwica3.206580WSep 12 · 23:20A. Wos1.211113113W. Gluszek3.6061170
L. Pietraszko10
LSep 13 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.361111113L. Pietraszko3.007890LSep 13 · 22:10F. Mlynarski1.671111113L. Pietraszko2.106770LSep 13 · 21:25D. Jadam1.611111113L. Pietraszko2.204850LSep 13 · 20:05L. Pietraszko1.53631291G. Kesik2.38111110113LSep 13 · 18:30M. Kolek1.911111113L. Pietraszko1.809280LSep 13 · 17:40F. Mlynarski1.441111113L. Pietraszko2.637470LSep 13 · 16:55L. Pietraszko2.10118371D. Jadam1.6781111113LSep 13 · 15:45L. Pietraszko2.38119971K. Staszczyk1.5381111113LSep 9 · 24:35K. Staszczyk1.571512133L. Pietraszko2.251310110WSep 8 · 22:55M. Rutkowski1.44118971L. Pietraszko2.6381111113
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