TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13131378
Played Sep 15Finished
Dmytro Derevynskyi
Home
1.57
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116117116––––
Oleksandr Melashenko
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:44 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeDmytro Derevynskyi to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Derevynskyi above · Oleksandr Melashenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 52 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Derevynskyi at 60.9%
52 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Derevynskyi 48–25 Oleksandr Melashenko Oleksandr Melashenko has won 25 of their 73 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:44What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Derevynskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
48-25 in 73
Derevynskyi
Correct
gap of 23 in 73, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Derevynskyi 1557 vs Melashenko 1572
Melashenko
Wrong
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Derevynskyi 40% vs Melashenko 80%
Melashenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Derevynskyi 40% vs Melashenko 70%
Melashenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Derevynskyi +2 · Melashenko +3
Melashenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Derevynskyi) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Melashenko form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDerevynskyi 1.57 / Melashenko 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Derevynskyi)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13131378
Derevynskyi1.57
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 190 of 328
Up 2–0, closes it91% 88 of 97
Up 1–0, closes it71% 136 of 192
Melashenko2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 102 of 270
Down 0–1, comes back21% 34 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 92
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDerevynskyi8wins
AwayMelashenko2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderDerevynskyi leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDerevynskyi66.7%4 of 6
AwayMelashenko0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Derevynskyi6Melashenko4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S2Derevynskyi6Melashenko4n = 10Derevynskyi took 6 of 10
S3Derevynskyi4Melashenko6n = 10Melashenko took 6 of 10
S4Derevynskyi6Melashenko3n = 9Derevynskyi took 6 of 9
S5Derevynskyi4Melashenko0n = 4Derevynskyi took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDerevynskyiMelashenkoD − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.036.7+5.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDerevynskyiMelashenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime477 / 875 vs 439 / 86454.5%50.8%477 / 875 vs 439 / 864Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DerevynskyiDerevynskyi 1.57/Melashenko 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.1%
Derevynskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Derevynskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi43111119113O. Melashenko4478111172
WSep 2 · 24:05D. Derevynskyi4011711113O. Melashenko28611561
WAug 22 · 01:05D. Derevynskyi43101111113O. Melashenko29125931
WAug 14 · 23:35D. Derevynskyi521011812113O. Melashenko47129111052
LAug 5 · 18:25D. Derevynskyi38138981O. Melashenko44111111113
WJul 29 · 13:55D. Derevynskyi331111113O. Melashenko216870
WJul 27 · 02:55D. Derevynskyi47117711113O. Melashenko4691111962
LJul 25 · 23:35D. Derevynskyi26115551O. Melashenko3631111113
WJul 23 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi43101111113O. Melashenko31124961
WJul 20 · 21:35D. Derevynskyi5511111111113O. Melashenko4113713352
D. Derevynskyi10
WSep 15 · 14:55D. Derevynskyi1.57117911113S. Khandetskyi2.2561111482WSep 15 · 13:25D. Derevynskyi1.531111113D. Rehotun2.387760LSep 15 · 03:25V. Khamurda1.911111113D. Derevynskyi1.808890LSep 15 · 02:25D. Derevynskyi1.73117116102S. Skachenko2.00611311123LSep 15 · 01:25D. Derevynskyi1.80911811122R. Gnoevoy1.91118118143WSep 14 · 23:55D. Derevynskyi1.731111123O. Naida2.0068100LSep 14 · 21:55D. Derevynskyi1.8011113111S. Abalmaz1.9181311133LSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123LSep 12 · 01:35Y. Krol2.631211133D. Derevynskyi1.44105110WSep 12 · 24:35D. Derevynskyi2.631111113O. Gomilko1.445760
O. Melashenko10
WSep 15 · 15:25O. Melashenko1.331111113D. Rehotun3.258990WSep 15 · 14:25Y. Sokoltsov2.254740O. Melashenko1.571111113WSep 15 · 04:05K. Hrynenko1.575570O. Melashenko2.251111113LSep 15 · 02:35O. Melashenko2.10115119122S. Khandetskyi1.67811911143WSep 15 · 24:35H. Kulishov1.61911961O. Melashenko2.2011911113WSep 14 · 22:35V. Kobets2.10111511782O. Melashenko1.67717611113WSep 14 · 21:35D. Rehotun3.001011781O. Melashenko1.3612211113LSep 13 · 04:05Y. Krol1.251312113O. Melashenko3.75111080WSep 13 · 02:35O. Melashenko1.618111311113M. Marchuk2.2011615672WSep 12 · 03:35D. Derevynskyi1.571211138102O. Melashenko2.251491111123
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.