TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13129905
Played Sep 15Finished
Kamil Kostyk
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
116118117––––
Adam Linek
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:02 and never touched — 69.6% is still 69.6%
Graded at full timeAdam Linek to win
69.6%
69.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Kostyk above · Adam Linek below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 54 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Adam Linek at 69.6%
54 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Kostyk 3–1 Adam Linek Adam Linek has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:02What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Linek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Kostyk
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kostyk 1426 vs Linek 1534
Linek
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostyk 60% vs Linek 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostyk 30% vs Linek 70%
Linek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostyk +1 · Linek +3
Linek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Linek) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostyk 1.83 / Linek 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Linek)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13129905
Kostyk1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Linek1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeKostyk3wins
AwayLinek1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderKostyk leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kostyk2Linek2n = 4split evenly
S2Kostyk4Linek0n = 4Kostyk took 4 of 4
S3Kostyk1Linek3n = 4Linek took 3 of 4
S4Kostyk2Linek1n = 3Kostyk took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricKostykLinekK − LBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match42.238.2+4.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostykLinekBasisWin rate · lifetime222 / 446 vs 788 / 168349.8%46.8%222 / 446 vs 788 / 1683Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LinekKostyk 1.83/Linek 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Linek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kostyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 14 · 21:00K. Kostyk4713119143A. Linek4111711121
WSep 14 · 20:05K. Kostyk49711911113A. Linek4211611772
WSep 25 · 14:40K. Kostyk331111113A. Linek247890
LSep 25 · 06:30K. Kostyk409117131A. Linek4611911153
K. Kostyk10
WSep 15 · 24:10K. Staszczyk1.6791113972K. Kostyk2.101191111113LSep 14 · 23:45K. Kostyk2.2511113892D. Solilo1.57861111113LSep 14 · 22:55K. Kostyk1.44631161J. Lamperski2.6311114113WSep 14 · 21:00K. Kostyk1.4413119143A. Linek2.4511711121WSep 14 · 20:05A. Linek2.2511611772K. Kostyk1.57711911113LSep 14 · 19:15K. Staszczyk1.6151111113K. Kostyk2.20119821LSep 14 · 17:20M. Kolek1.57811118113K. Kostyk2.2511761162LSep 14 · 16:30K. Rudomina1.91111111113K. Kostyk1.80136951LSep 14 · 15:00J. Witkowski1.61511913113K. Kostyk2.20118111172LSep 8 · 23:20K. Kapik1.441111113K. Kostyk2.636370
A. Linek10
WSep 14 · 23:20K. Staszczyk1.40118119112A. Linek2.75711711133WSep 14 · 22:35D. Solilo1.57111113692A. Linek2.25961511113WSep 14 · 22:10A. Linek1.301111113J. Lamperski3.408980LSep 14 · 21:00K. Kostyk1.4413119143A. Linek2.4511711121LSep 14 · 20:05A. Linek2.2511611772K. Kostyk1.57711911113WSep 14 · 18:30M. Kolek1.6188111192A. Linek2.20111153113WSep 14 · 17:40J. Witkowski1.537111081A. Linek2.3811812113WSep 14 · 16:55A. Linek3.00711115113K. Staszczyk1.3611691162WSep 14 · 15:45A. Linek1.731151110123K. Rudomina2.00911912102LSep 14 · 24:35A. Linek1.884990K. Rudomina1.821111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kostyk
Sep 15 · 17:40K. Kostyk1.50B. Kwodawski2.50—Sep 15 · 18:50K. Kostyk2.20J. Witkowski1.61—Sep 15 · 20:30K. Kostyk1.91L. Pietraszko1.80—Sep 15 · 21:00K. Kostyk1.49A. Linek2.34—Sep 15 · 22:10K. Kostyk2.63D. Solilo1.44—Sep 15 · 22:35K. Kostyk1.50B. Kwodawski2.50—Sep 15 · 23:20K. Kostyk1.91L. Pietraszko1.80—
A. Linek
Sep 15 · 16:30A. Linek2.50J. Witkowski1.50—Sep 15 · 17:20A. Linek1.36J. Lamperski3.00—Sep 15 · 19:15A. Linek2.10L. Pietraszko1.67—Sep 15 · 20:05A. Linek1.80B. Kwodawski1.91—Sep 15 · 21:00A. Linek2.34K. Kostyk1.49—Sep 15 · 22:55A. Linek2.38D. Solilo1.53—Sep 15 · 23:45A. Linek1.91B. Kwodawski1.80—Sep 16 · 24:10A. Linek2.10L. Pietraszko1.67—
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