TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13127302
Played Sep 14Finished
Jan Vonasek
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117611611116118
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Vonasek above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 88 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vonasek 51–63 Ondrej Fiklik Jan Vonasek has won 51 of their 114 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:55What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Fiklik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-63 in 114
Fiklik
Wrong
gap of 12 in 114, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vonasek 1533 vs Fiklik 1559
Fiklik
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vonasek 40% vs Fiklik 60%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vonasek 30% vs Fiklik 60%
Fiklik
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vonasek +1 · Fiklik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vonasek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVonasek 1.83 / Fiklik 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fiklik)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13127302
Vonasek1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Fiklik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVonasek3wins
AwayFiklik7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderFiklik leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVonasek66.7%2 of 3
AwayFiklik85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vonasek3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S2Vonasek3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S3Vonasek4Fiklik6n = 10Fiklik took 6 of 10
S4Vonasek4Fiklik4n = 8split evenly
S5Vonasek2Fiklik2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricVonasekFiklikV − FBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.1−1.8per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVonasekFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime357 / 730 vs 563 / 122448.9%46%357 / 730 vs 563 / 1224Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikVonasek 1.83/Fiklik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vonasek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek435141591O. Fiklik51111613113
WAug 23 · 20:55J. Vonasek4211119113O. Fiklik29841161
LAug 22 · 21:25J. Vonasek381191081O. Fiklik4391112113
LAug 22 · 17:25J. Vonasek38911991O. Fiklik4011711113
WAug 21 · 08:55J. Vonasek44117411113O. Fiklik3961111472
LAug 18 · 07:25J. Vonasek2881280O. Fiklik361114113
LAug 13 · 07:55J. Vonasek4151212482O. Fiklik5311101011113
LAug 10 · 07:55J. Vonasek2881190O. Fiklik351113113
WAug 3 · 12:55J. Vonasek53991111133O. Fiklik46111167112
LJul 24 · 10:39J. Vonasek4898141162O. Fiklik491111124113
J. Vonasek10
WSep 14 · 11:20A. Langer2.3811970J. Vonasek1.531311113LSep 14 · 10:50V. Jr2.001312113J. Vonasek1.73111080LSep 10 · 13:53J. Vonasek2.207111091A. Rek1.6111712113WSep 10 · 12:55J. Vonasek2.38118411113A. Rek1.5381111692LSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113LSep 10 · 10:55J. Vonasek2.509133111V. Nadvornik1.50111111133WSep 9 · 09:55A. Langer2.25561161J. Vonasek1.5711117113LSep 9 · 09:25J. Vonasek2.256670M. Brozek1.571111113LSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480LSep 9 · 07:25A. Rek1.53811117113J. Vonasek2.3811451112
O. Fiklik10
WSep 14 · 11:50O. Fiklik1.571171211113V. Jr2.2531114782WSep 14 · 10:20A. Langer1.91119111192O. Fiklik1.80511138113LSep 13 · 22:00O. Fiklik2.6091141182A. Kosacky1.45116118113LSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292WSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982WSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113LSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113
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