TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13125085
Played Sep 13Finished
Adam Kosacky
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
121081113111012119
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 68.1% is still 68.1%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
68.1%
68.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kosacky above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 13-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 107 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 68.1%
107 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kosacky 60–41 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 41 of their 101 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Kosacky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
60-41 in 101
Kosacky
Correct
gap of 19 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosacky 1730 vs Fiklik 1544
Kosacky
Correct
both rated, 185 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosacky 40% vs Fiklik 60%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosacky 70% vs Fiklik 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosacky -1 · Fiklik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kosacky) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosacky 1.44 / Fiklik 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Kosacky)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13125085
Kosacky1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 48 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Fiklik2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 109 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back12% 11 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosacky10wins
AwayFiklik0wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosacky100%7 of 7
AwayFiklik0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosacky7Fiklik3n = 10Kosacky took 7 of 10
S2Kosacky9Fiklik1n = 10Kosacky took 9 of 10
S3Kosacky7Fiklik3n = 10Kosacky took 7 of 10
S4Kosacky4Fiklik1n = 5Kosacky took 4 of 5
S5Kosacky3Fiklik0n = 3Kosacky took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosackyFiklikK − FBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.031.4+8.6per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosackyFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime348 / 626 vs 561 / 122255.6%45.9%348 / 626 vs 561 / 1222Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.737.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosackyKosacky 1.44/Fiklik 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kosacky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WMay 10 · 19:50A. Kosacky44741111113O. Fiklik4111116672
WApr 27 · 07:25A. Kosacky421120113O. Fiklik2931880
WMar 28 · 20:25A. Kosacky371511113O. Fiklik2613670
WMar 19 · 13:25A. Kosacky48711712113O. Fiklik42115111052
WMar 16 · 13:55A. Kosacky3811114123O. Fiklik367811101
WFeb 26 · 15:30A. Kosacky4071111113O. Fiklik35118881
WFeb 26 · 11:55A. Kosacky331111113O. Fiklik153570
WFeb 22 · 11:20A. Kosacky371214113O. Fiklik30101280
WFeb 21 · 11:10A. Kosacky331111113O. Fiklik167360
WFeb 21 · 08:25A. Kosacky481111105113O. Fiklik4457121192
A. Kosacky10
LSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752WSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113LJun 7 · 18:30A. Kosacky1.361305111J. Kocab3.00111111133LJun 7 · 17:25A. Kosacky2.00491361D. Hyza1.73111111113WJun 7 · 15:55J. Kocab3.257680A. Kosacky1.331111113WJun 7 · 15:25M. Brozek2.207490A. Kosacky1.611111113WJun 4 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.4071211113M. Kulisek2.751110781WJun 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7511870A. Kosacky1.401311113WJun 4 · 20:25A. Kosacky1.571112113J. Kocab2.2571060WJun 4 · 18:55M. Brozek2.251071141A. Kosacky1.5712119113
O. Fiklik10
WSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982WSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113LSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122LSep 10 · 14:25V. Nadvornik1.28116612113O. Fiklik3.15911111072LSep 10 · 13:25O. Fiklik2.505790V. Nadvornik1.501111113WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113WSep 10 · 11:25A. Rek1.5711881162O. Fiklik2.25511115113
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