TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126846
Played Sep 14Finished
Ales Langer
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1159111113118911
Ondrej Fiklik
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:36 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Fiklik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAles Langer above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 99 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Ondrej Fiklik at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Ales Langer 12–16 Ondrej Fiklik Ales Langer has won 12 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:36What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Fiklik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-16 in 28
Fiklik
Correct
gap of 4 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Langer 1607 vs Fiklik 1533
Langer
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Langer 40% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Langer 50% vs Fiklik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Langer -1 · Fiklik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Fiklik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLanger 1.91 / Fiklik 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Fiklik)+2.5pp
TT Cup · #13126846
Langer1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 65 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back29% 23 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 37
Fiklik1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite54% won 79 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it90% 36 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it72% 53 of 74
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLanger6wins
AwayFiklik4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLanger leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLanger71.4%5 of 7
AwayFiklik66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Langer7Fiklik3n = 10Langer took 7 of 10
S2Langer3Fiklik7n = 10Fiklik took 7 of 10
S3Langer5Fiklik5n = 10split evenly
S4Langer6Fiklik1n = 7Langer took 6 of 7
S5Langer1Fiklik2n = 3Fiklik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLangerFiklikL − FBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.236.8+3.4per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLangerFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime258 / 526 vs 561 / 122449.1%45.8%258 / 526 vs 561 / 1224Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FiklikLanger 1.91/Fiklik 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Fiklik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Fiklik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 12:20A. Langer4011711113O. Fiklik28911531
LSep 1 · 14:05A. Langer48111111692O. Fiklik48713611113
LSep 1 · 10:55A. Langer3191390O. Fiklik371115113
WAug 15 · 14:55A. Langer341111123O. Fiklik2174100
WAug 14 · 06:55A. Langer43111110113O. Fiklik32981231
LAug 9 · 10:55A. Langer4411881162O. Fiklik51911119113
WAug 8 · 12:25A. Langer51119911113O. Fiklik4171111572
WJul 10 · 14:20A. Langer4351211153O. Fiklik4311109131
LJun 28 · 09:30A. Langer258890O. Fiklik331111113
WJun 28 · 06:20A. Langer43111011113O. Fiklik34812951
A. Langer10
LSep 14 · 11:20A. Langer2.3811970J. Vonasek1.531311113LSep 13 · 17:59V. Jr1.91119119113A. Langer1.8081191152WSep 13 · 16:50M. Beran1.73811120A. Langer2.001113143LSep 13 · 15:50A. Langer1.834780V. Jr1.831111113WSep 13 · 14:20D. Sochor2.50611961A. Langer1.5011711113LSep 9 · 09:55A. Langer2.25561161J. Vonasek1.5711117113LSep 9 · 08:55A. Langer2.207570A. Rek1.611111113WSep 9 · 07:55A. Langer2.381111113J. Vonasek1.537480LSep 9 · 06:55A. Langer2.5011121131M. Brozek1.5013148113WSep 8 · 13:50A. Langer1.851111125113V. Jr1.85513101182
O. Fiklik10
LSep 13 · 22:00O. Fiklik2.6091141182A. Kosacky1.45116118113LSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292WSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982WSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113LSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122LSep 10 · 14:25V. Nadvornik1.28116612113O. Fiklik3.15911111072LSep 10 · 13:25O. Fiklik2.505790V. Nadvornik1.501111113
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