TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT CupMatch #13126584
Played Sep 13Finished
Ondrej Fiklik
Home
2.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911116411118811
Adam Kosacky
Away
1.45
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:27 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOndrej Fiklik above · Adam Kosacky below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 90 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Adam Kosacky at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Fiklik 41–60 Adam Kosacky Ondrej Fiklik has won 41 of their 101 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Kosacky beat Fiklik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:27What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.45 (64%)
Kosacky
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-60 in 101
Kosacky
Correct
gap of 19 in 101, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fiklik 1539 vs Kosacky 1735
Kosacky
Correct
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fiklik 60% vs Kosacky 40%
Fiklik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fiklik 50% vs Kosacky 70%
Kosacky
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fiklik -1 · Kosacky +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Kosacky) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kosacky form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFiklik 2.60 / Kosacky 1.45
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Kosacky)+0.8pp
TT Cup · #13126584
Fiklik2.60
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog39% won 109 of 277
Down 0–1, comes back21% 33 of 154
Down 0–2, comes back12% 11 of 96
Kosacky1.45
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite68% won 48 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it91% 39 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeFiklik0wins
AwayKosacky10wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 10–0, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFiklik0%0 of 3
AwayKosacky100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fiklik3Kosacky7n = 10Kosacky took 7 of 10
S2Fiklik1Kosacky9n = 10Kosacky took 9 of 10
S3Fiklik3Kosacky7n = 10Kosacky took 7 of 10
S4Fiklik1Kosacky4n = 5Kosacky took 4 of 5
S5Fiklik0Kosacky3n = 3Kosacky took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricFiklikKosackyF − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.440.0−8.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFiklikKosackyBasisWin rate · lifetime561 / 1223 vs 348 / 62645.9%55.6%561 / 1223 vs 348 / 626Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KosackyFiklik 2.60/Kosacky 1.45
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Kosacky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LMay 10 · 19:50O. Fiklik4111116672A. Kosacky44741111113
LApr 27 · 07:25O. Fiklik2931880A. Kosacky421120113
LMar 28 · 20:25O. Fiklik2613670A. Kosacky371511113
LMar 19 · 13:25O. Fiklik42115111052A. Kosacky48711712113
LMar 16 · 13:55O. Fiklik367811101A. Kosacky3811114123
LFeb 26 · 15:30O. Fiklik35118881A. Kosacky4071111113
LFeb 26 · 11:55O. Fiklik153570A. Kosacky331111113
LFeb 22 · 11:20O. Fiklik30101280A. Kosacky371214113
LFeb 21 · 11:10O. Fiklik167360A. Kosacky331111113
LFeb 21 · 08:25O. Fiklik4457121192A. Kosacky481111105113
O. Fiklik10
LSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292WSep 13 · 19:50O. Fiklik2.00611211113V. Skokan1.7311711982WSep 13 · 18:20D. Sykora2.506380O. Fiklik1.501111113LSep 11 · 14:25A. Rek1.521112118113O. Fiklik2.35131071182WSep 11 · 12:55V. Jr2.2571131132O. Fiklik1.57118119113LSep 11 · 12:25A. Rek1.571111123O. Fiklik2.2565100WSep 11 · 11:25O. Fiklik2.25811128143D. Hyza1.571161011122LSep 10 · 14:25V. Nadvornik1.28116612113O. Fiklik3.15911111072LSep 10 · 13:25O. Fiklik2.505790V. Nadvornik1.501111113WSep 10 · 11:55J. Vonasek1.915141591O. Fiklik1.80111613113
A. Kosacky10
WSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky1.441281310113O. Fiklik2.631011111292LSep 13 · 19:20D. Sykora3.251011411113A. Kosacky1.3312911752WSep 13 · 18:50V. Skokan2.631171191A. Kosacky1.4451113113LJun 7 · 18:30A. Kosacky1.361305111J. Kocab3.00111111133LJun 7 · 17:25A. Kosacky2.00491361D. Hyza1.73111111113WJun 7 · 15:55J. Kocab3.257680A. Kosacky1.331111113WJun 7 · 15:25M. Brozek2.207490A. Kosacky1.611111113WJun 4 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.4071211113M. Kulisek2.751110781WJun 4 · 21:25M. Kulisek2.7511870A. Kosacky1.401311113WJun 4 · 20:25A. Kosacky1.571112113J. Kocab2.2571060
Upcoming Matches
O. Fiklik1 of 1 neutral
A. Kosacky
Nothing scheduled
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