TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123185
Played Sep 13Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
9111210911711––
Ulana Dronova
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:02 and never touched — 66.6% is still 66.6%
Graded at full timeUlana Dronova to win
66.6%
66.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Ulana Dronova below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 80 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Ulana Dronova at 66.6%
80 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 3–3 Ulana Dronova Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:02What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Dronova
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1501 vs Dronova 1511
Dronova
Correct
both rated, 10 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 40% vs Dronova 20%
Yureneva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 40% vs Dronova 20%
Yureneva
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva -2 · Dronova -4
Dronova
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Dronova) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Dronova form (20%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 3.00 / Dronova 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Dronova)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123185
Yureneva3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog39% won 21 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Dronova1.36
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 19 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it58% 14 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeYureneva3wins
AwayDronova3wins
4 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYurenevan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayDronova50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva2Dronova4n = 6Dronova took 4 of 6
S2Yureneva4Dronova2n = 6Yureneva took 4 of 6
S3Yureneva0Dronova6n = 6Dronova took 6 of 6
S4Yureneva2Dronova2n = 4split evenly
S5Yureneva3Dronova1n = 4Yureneva took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away233%
These 6 meetings
MetricYurenevaDronovaY − DBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set24−2of 6Avg pointsper match41.344.2−2.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaDronovaBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 587 vs 41 / 9560.3%43.2%354 / 587 vs 41 / 95Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.135.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DronovaYureneva 3.00/Dronova 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Dronova · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Dronova won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WAug 21 · 06:00S. Yureneva50611715113U. Dronova51118111382
LAug 20 · 11:40S. Yureneva4111118652U. Dronova46491111113
LJul 16 · 05:30S. Yureneva239860U. Dronova331111113
LJul 15 · 11:10S. Yureneva25510100U. Dronova351112123
WMay 21 · 10:30S. Yureneva601518124113U. Dronova621316141182
WMay 20 · 12:10S. Yureneva49711911113U. Dronova3811711542
S. Yureneva10
LSep 13 · 15:10S. Yureneva2.00117781V. Kurtenko1.7361111113LSep 13 · 13:40S. Yureneva4.338880A. Kurtenko1.201111103WSep 13 · 12:10S. Yureneva1.611111143A. Rzhevska2.2094120LSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102
U. Dronova10
LSep 13 · 15:40U. Dronova1.834460A. Kurtenko1.83111162LSep 13 · 14:40U. Dronova1.91513971P. Pashchenko1.80111111113LSep 13 · 13:10U. Dronova1.40119381V. Kurtenko2.7581111113LSep 13 · 11:10U. Dronova2.10512871A. Rzhevska1.67111011113WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113LAug 20 · 17:40U. Dronova1.7311114142A. Rzhevska2.00431111113WAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113
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