TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123253
Played Sep 13Finished
Ulana Dronova
Home
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
118911311811––
Viktoria Kurtenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:43 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeUlana Dronova to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingUlana Dronova above · Viktoria Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 72 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ulana Dronova at 66.7%
72 points played in total.
H2H Ulana Dronova 5–4 Viktoria Kurtenko Viktoria Kurtenko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:43What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Dronova
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Dronova 1533 vs Kurtenko 1543
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Dronova 20% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Dronova 40% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Dronova -1 · Kurtenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Dronova)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDronova 1.40 / Kurtenko 2.75
Signal prob.67% / 33%
Edge (Dronova)+0.4pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123253
Dronova1.40
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite50% won 19 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it85% 11 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it58% 14 of 24
Kurtenko2.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As underdog29% won 11 of 38
Down 0–1, comes back19% 4 of 21
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeDronova5wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
3 of 9 to a deciderDronova leads 5–4, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDronova57.1%4 of 7
AwayKurtenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Dronova7Kurtenko2n = 9Dronova took 7 of 9
S2Dronova5Kurtenko4n = 9Dronova took 5 of 9
S3Dronova5Kurtenko4n = 9Dronova took 5 of 9
S4Dronova3Kurtenko4n = 7Kurtenko took 4 of 7
S5Dronova1Kurtenko2n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home111%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricDronovaKurtenkoD − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match40.635.4+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDronovaKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime42 / 95 vs 95 / 18244.2%52.2%42 / 95 vs 95 / 182Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.736.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DronovaDronova 1.40/Kurtenko 2.75
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.7%
Dronova · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WAug 20 · 15:40U. Dronova4071111113V. Kurtenko31116951
WJul 16 · 07:00U. Dronova331111113V. Kurtenko83410
LApr 7 · 05:30U. Dronova5079151182V. Kurtenko551111139113
LApr 6 · 11:40U. Dronova31132791V. Kurtenko44111111113
LFeb 26 · 08:35U. Dronova371197101V. Kurtenko4281111123
LJun 1 · 04:30U. Dronova511111101092V. Kurtenko47841212113
WMay 18 · 04:30U. Dronova341111123V. Kurtenko1532100
WMay 11 · 09:29U. Dronova4011117113V. Kurtenko32761181
WMay 11 · 04:30U. Dronova49117119113V. Kurtenko4571171192
U. Dronova10
LSep 13 · 11:10U. Dronova2.10512871A. Rzhevska1.67111011113WAug 21 · 09:00Y. Mykhailyk3.40136811102U. Dronova1.301111115123LAug 21 · 07:30U. Dronova1.801250A. Rzhevska1.911111113LAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113LAug 21 · 04:30U. Dronova1.576131171P. Pashchenko2.2511157113LAug 20 · 17:40U. Dronova1.7311114142A. Rzhevska2.00431111113WAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113LAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:40U. Dronova1.131111113A. Plashchynska5.503470WAug 20 · 11:40S. Yureneva3.2511118652U. Dronova1.33491111113
V. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WSep 1 · 10:30A. Rzhevska1.28109100V. Kurtenko3.501211123WSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770LSep 1 · 08:30V. Kurtenko1.73111113552P. Pashchenko2.00481511113WSep 1 · 07:00V. Kurtenko1.301111113Y. Mykhailyk3.405760WSep 1 · 05:00V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.006990LAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571LAug 20 · 15:40V. Kurtenko3.00116951U. Dronova1.3671111113WAug 20 · 14:40V. Kurtenko1.141111113A. Plashchynska5.009580WAug 20 · 13:10V. Kurtenko1.831211113S. Yureneva1.8310960
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