TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123178
Played Sep 13Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
4.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811811810––––
Alina Kurtenko
Away
1.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 82.6% is still 82.6%
Graded at full timeAlina Kurtenko to win
82.6%
82.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Alina Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-10
Point 56 set 3, 8-10 — our read held Alina Kurtenko at 82.6%
56 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 3–42 Alina Kurtenko Svitlana Yureneva has won 3 of their 45 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:03What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (78%)
Kurtenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-42 in 45
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 39 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1539 vs Kurtenko 1634
Kurtenko
Correct
both rated, 95 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 60% vs Kurtenko 80%
Kurtenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 60% vs Kurtenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva +1 · Kurtenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Kurtenko) · live re-read · sealed at 83% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Yureneva form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (23%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 4.33 / Kurtenko 1.20
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Kurtenko)+3.5pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123178
Yureneva4.33
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 21 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back13% 4 of 30
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 19
Kurtenko1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 38 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it69% 20 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva0wins
AwayKurtenko10wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKurtenko leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva0%0 of 5
AwayKurtenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Yureneva3Kurtenko7n = 10Kurtenko took 7 of 10
S3Yureneva2Kurtenko8n = 10Kurtenko took 8 of 10
S4Yureneva2Kurtenko6n = 8Kurtenko took 6 of 8
S5Yureneva0Kurtenko4n = 4Kurtenko took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaKurtenkoY − KBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match37.044.3−7.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 585 vs 117 / 22060.5%53.2%354 / 585 vs 117 / 220Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurtenkoYureneva 4.33/Kurtenko 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.8%
Kurtenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 20 · 15:10S. Yureneva4581211592A. Kurtenko451110211113
LAug 5 · 10:18S. Yureneva219570A. Kurtenko331111113
LAug 5 · 04:30S. Yureneva419117141A. Kurtenko4311511163
LJul 30 · 11:30S. Yureneva381198101A. Kurtenko3841111123
LJul 21 · 09:00S. Yureneva41111111262A. Kurtenko49513911113
LJul 16 · 06:30S. Yureneva177550A. Kurtenko331111113
LJun 25 · 05:30S. Yureneva35119691A. Kurtenko3961111113
LJun 9 · 12:05S. Yureneva4531271852A. Kurtenko5911101116113
LMay 30 · 10:05S. Yureneva391411681A. Kurtenko47121311113
LMay 17 · 14:10S. Yureneva4814461592A. Kurtenko5712111113103
S. Yureneva10
WSep 13 · 12:10S. Yureneva1.611111143A. Rzhevska2.2094120LSep 13 · 10:40S. Yureneva1.5312115101P. Pashchenko2.3814411123WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 13 · 12:40A. Kurtenko1.50111051182P. Pashchenko2.50712119113WSep 13 · 11:40V. Kurtenko1.8311811592A. Kurtenko1.83911911113WAug 20 · 16:40A. Kurtenko1.6781111113V. Kurtenko2.10114571WAug 20 · 15:10A. Kurtenko1.201110211113S. Yureneva4.3381211592WAug 20 · 13:40A. Kurtenko2.2551111113U. Dronova1.57117641WAug 20 · 12:10A. Kurtenko1.80115712113A. Rzhevska1.91311111092WAug 20 · 10:40A. Kurtenko1.1711119113A. Plashchynska4.50261151LAug 13 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.17291111113A. Kurtenko4.5011118682LAug 13 · 10:00A. Rzhevska1.91311117113A. Kurtenko1.8011721172LAug 13 · 08:30U. Dronova1.671113113A. Kurtenko2.1031190
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