TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13123179
Played Sep 13Finished
Svitlana Yureneva
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12141145111012––
Polina Pashchenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:03 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeSvitlana Yureneva to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingSvitlana Yureneva above · Polina Pashchenko below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 79 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Svitlana Yureneva at 71.3%
79 points played in total.
H2H Svitlana Yureneva 11–3 Polina Pashchenko Polina Pashchenko has won 3 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:03What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Yureneva
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-3 in 14
Yureneva
Wrong
gap of 8 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Yureneva 1533 vs Pashchenko 1522
Yureneva
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Yureneva 60% vs Pashchenko 20%
Yureneva
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Yureneva 70% vs Pashchenko 20%
Yureneva
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Yureneva +1 · Pashchenko -4
Pashchenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Yureneva) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Pashchenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsYureneva 1.53 / Pashchenko 2.38
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Yureneva)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13123179
Yureneva1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 124 of 168
Up 2–0, closes it93% 69 of 74
Up 1–0, closes it88% 98 of 111
Pashchenko2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog34% won 17 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back15% 4 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back21% 4 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeYureneva8wins
AwayPashchenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderYureneva leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeYureneva83.3%5 of 6
AwayPashchenko25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Yureneva6Pashchenko4n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S2Yureneva6Pashchenko4n = 10Yureneva took 6 of 10
S3Yureneva8Pashchenko2n = 10Yureneva took 8 of 10
S4Yureneva4Pashchenko2n = 6Yureneva took 4 of 6
S5Yureneva2Pashchenko1n = 3Yureneva took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricYurenevaPashchenkoY − PBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.835.3+4.5per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricYurenevaPashchenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime359 / 592 vs 70 / 13260.6%53%359 / 592 vs 70 / 132Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.235.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
YurenevaYureneva 1.53/Pashchenko 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.4%
Yureneva · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Pashchenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva40111141042P. Pashchenko44641112113
WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva331111113P. Pashchenko173770
WAug 4 · 05:30S. Yureneva45711114123P. Pashchenko44117511102
WJul 30 · 05:30S. Yureneva331111113P. Pashchenko209470
WJul 21 · 11:00S. Yureneva4314711113P. Pashchenko351211751
WJul 12 · 05:05S. Yureneva3741111113P. Pashchenko36119881
WJul 1 · 06:05S. Yureneva411911113P. Pashchenko3417890
WJun 21 · 10:36S. Yureneva51111217113P. Pashchenko449141561
LJun 21 · 07:35S. Yureneva2611960P. Pashchenko351311113
WJun 19 · 09:00S. Yureneva49791111113P. Pashchenko4411118862
S. Yureneva10
WSep 1 · 11:30S. Yureneva1.221181111113A. Plashchynska4.0081113452LSep 1 · 09:30V. Kurtenko1.911111113S. Yureneva1.804770WSep 1 · 07:30A. Rzhevska2.205860S. Yureneva1.611111113LSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113WSep 1 · 05:30Y. Mykhailyk3.00811651S. Yureneva1.3611711113LAug 21 · 09:45A. Rzhevska2.10511512123S. Yureneva1.671191110102WAug 21 · 08:00Y. Mykhailyk3.00410120S. Yureneva1.361112143WAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770WAug 21 · 06:00U. Dronova1.30118111382S. Yureneva3.40611715113WAug 21 · 05:00S. Yureneva1.67971111113A. Rzhevska2.1011119482
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 10 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.221111113P. Pashchenko4.007150LSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113LSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko2.25711981R. Budnyk1.5711611113LSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko6.50911741I. Yevtodii1.1011911113WSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840LSep 9 · 09:00P. Pashchenko3.75211981N. Plokhotniuk1.2511911113LSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113WSep 1 · 06:30S. Yureneva1.44111141042P. Pashchenko2.63641112113LAug 21 · 07:00S. Yureneva1.531111113P. Pashchenko2.383770
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