TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107069
Played Sep 10Finished
Polina Pashchenko
Home
2.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116911811––
Roksolana Budnyk
Away
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:52 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeRoksolana Budnyk to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPolina Pashchenko above · Roksolana Budnyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 74 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Roksolana Budnyk at 60.8%
74 points played in total.
H2H Polina Pashchenko 1–1 Roksolana Budnyk Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 24:52What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Budnyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Pashchenko 1536 vs Budnyk 1684
Budnyk
Correct
both rated, 148 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pashchenko 40% vs Budnyk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pashchenko 40% vs Budnyk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Pashchenko -1 · Budnyk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Budnyk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Budnyk form (40%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPashchenko 2.25 / Budnyk 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Budnyk)+0.0pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107069
Pashchenko2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Budnyk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomePashchenko1wins
AwayBudnyk1wins
Level at 1–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricPashchenkoBudnykP − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match34.028.5+5.5per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPashchenkoBudnykBasisWin rate · lifetime70 / 130 vs 55 / 10953.9%50.5%70 / 130 vs 55 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match35.835.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BudnykPashchenko 2.25/Budnyk 1.57
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.9%
Budnyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Budnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 10 · 08:30P. Pashchenko—711981R. Budnyk—11611113
WSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko—1111113R. Budnyk—6840
P. Pashchenko10
LSep 10 · 09:30P. Pashchenko6.50117531A. Ovriakh1.1081111113LSep 10 · 07:00P. Pashchenko6.50911741I. Yevtodii1.1011911113WSep 10 · 05:00P. Pashchenko1.9114911133A. Rzhevska1.8012117111WSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840LSep 9 · 09:00P. Pashchenko3.75211981N. Plokhotniuk1.2511911113LSep 9 · 07:30P. Pashchenko4.3310890I. Yevtodii1.201211113LSep 9 · 06:00P. Pashchenko1.731640A. Rzhevska2.001111113LSep 9 · 04:30P. Pashchenko6.001191341A. Ovriakh1.1191115113LSep 1 · 11:00Y. Mykhailyk1.8011411113P. Pashchenko1.91811781WSep 1 · 10:00A. Plashchynska6.004390P. Pashchenko1.111111113
R. Budnyk10
LSep 10 · 10:00A. Rzhevska2.501211133R. Budnyk1.50105110LSep 10 · 06:30A. Ovriakh1.301111113R. Budnyk3.408970WSep 10 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.3361090R. Budnyk3.251112113LSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840WSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890LSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2.6384120A. Ovriakh1.441111143WSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113
Upcoming Matches
P. Pashchenko
R. Budnyk
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