TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup Women
Setka Cup WomenMatch #13107251
Played Sep 10Finished
Nataliia Plokhotniuk
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
6111012911––––
Roksolana Budnyk
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 01:05 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeNataliia Plokhotniuk to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
59 points played in total.
Set by set
6111012911––––
H2H Nataliia Plokhotniuk 15–5 Roksolana Budnyk Roksolana Budnyk has won 5 of their 20 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 22h before this match
Budnyk beat Plokhotniuk 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 01:05What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-5 in 20
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
gap of 10 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Plokhotniuk 1775 vs Budnyk 1701
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
both rated, 74 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Plokhotniuk 60% vs Budnyk 40%
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Plokhotniuk 50% vs Budnyk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Plokhotniuk +3 · Budnyk -1
Plokhotniuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Plokhotniuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Plokhotniuk form (60%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPlokhotniuk 1.33 / Budnyk 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Plokhotniuk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup Women · #13107251
Plokhotniuk1.33
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Budnyk3.25
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePlokhotniuk7wins
AwayBudnyk3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPlokhotniuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePlokhotniuk77.8%7 of 9
AwayBudnykn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Plokhotniuk9Budnyk1n = 10Plokhotniuk took 9 of 10
S2Plokhotniuk7Budnyk3n = 10Plokhotniuk took 7 of 10
S3Plokhotniuk4Budnyk6n = 10Budnyk took 6 of 10
S4Plokhotniuk5Budnyk1n = 6Plokhotniuk took 5 of 6
S5Plokhotniuk1Budnyk2n = 3Budnyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPlokhotniukBudnykP − BBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match38.432.5+5.9per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPlokhotniukBudnykBasisWin rate · lifetime104 / 168 vs 57 / 10961.9%52.3%104 / 168 vs 57 / 109Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.936.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PlokhotniukPlokhotniuk 1.33/Budnyk 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Plokhotniuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Budnyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 07:00N. Plokhotniuk—118121192R. Budnyk—811145113
LAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk—1211891R. Budnyk—14911113
WJul 23 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk—116411113R. Budnyk—81111982
WJul 6 · 09:58N. Plokhotniuk—1111113R. Budnyk—9670
WJul 6 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk—1111113R. Budnyk—6950
WMar 26 · 07:35N. Plokhotniuk—11118133R. Budnyk—5911111
WMar 25 · 15:10N. Plokhotniuk—11118113R. Budnyk—661181
LMar 10 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk—11521152R. Budnyk—811115113
WFeb 26 · 08:05N. Plokhotniuk—1111113R. Budnyk—4960
WFeb 25 · 18:10N. Plokhotniuk—1111113R. Budnyk—2440
N. Plokhotniuk10
WSep 10 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.171111113A. Rzhevska4.504740WSep 9 · 11:00N. Plokhotniuk1.911112109113A. Ovriakh1.80610121182WSep 9 · 09:00P. Pashchenko3.75211981N. Plokhotniuk1.2511911113WSep 9 · 08:00N. Plokhotniuk1.201111113A. Rzhevska4.338540LSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:30N. Plokhotniuk2.6376110I. Yevtodii1.441111133WAug 13 · 10:30N. Plokhotniuk1.501111113U. Dronova2.508720LAug 13 · 09:00N. Plokhotniuk2.50611381I. Yevtodii1.5011511113LAug 13 · 07:30N. Plokhotniuk1.8010750A. Ovriakh1.911211113WAug 13 · 06:00N. Plokhotniuk1.2061112113A. Rzhevska4.331131081
R. Budnyk10
LSep 9 · 10:30P. Pashchenko2.751111113R. Budnyk1.406840WSep 9 · 09:30R. Budnyk4.331111113I. Yevtodii1.208890LSep 9 · 08:30R. Budnyk2.6384120A. Ovriakh1.441111143WSep 9 · 07:00R. Budnyk3.40811145113N. Plokhotniuk1.30118121192LSep 9 · 05:00R. Budnyk1.4411890A. Rzhevska2.631311113LAug 12 · 11:00I. Yevtodii1.2081211113R. Budnyk4.331110651WAug 12 · 10:00A. Kurtenko2.2081150R. Budnyk1.611113113WAug 12 · 08:30A. Ovriakh1.44118681R. Budnyk2.6391111113WAug 12 · 06:30U. Dronova1.80911951R. Budnyk1.9111511113WAug 12 · 04:30N. Plokhotniuk1.251211891R. Budnyk3.7514911113
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